(Adds comment)
SINGAPORE, July 29 (Reuters) - South Korea's stock market
plummeted for a second-straight session on Wednesday after
earnings from chipmaker SK Hynix ( SKHY ) failed to allay
investor fears about the durability of the AI trade.
The benchmark KOSPI index closed down about 6% on
Wednesday after an almost 11% rout in the previous session as
retail investors rushed to exit positions.
Here are some comments from analysts and investors:
PETER KIM, SENIOR MANAGING DIRECTOR, KB SECURITIES, SEOUL:
"The selloff is not driven by fundamental deterioration.
This is a liquidity and sentiment-driven event, fuelled by the
forced unwinding of single-stock leveraged ETFs across Korea,
U.S., HK and UK, making the move sharper and more extreme than
warranted by fundamentals.
"Sentiment remains fragile and retail-dominated, with fund
flows and retail positioning currently the key market driver
rather than earnings or fundamentals. The scale of leverage
built up means the flush out will not complete within one or two
weeks, and the price correction itself is generating more
negative headlines, creating a self-reinforcing cycle that
continues to overshadow any positives."
GINA KIM, PORTFOLIO MANAGER FOR EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES,
NORDEA ASSET MANAGEMENT, SINGAPORE:
"Given that the fundamental thesis remains intact, there
does appear to be an irrational, panic-like element to the
current selling, which has been concentrated in AI-related tech
names.
"Some of this selling can be rationalised - de-risking ahead
of the summer holidays, margin calls and similar flows -
alongside recent newsflow on the sustainability of AI capex
given rising debt levels and lower FCF at the CSPs, Chinese AI
breakthroughs, and advances in chip manufacturing technology."
"We have trimmed some of our larger tech stock exposure due
to single stock limits rather than for fundamental
reasons."
GARY TAN, PORTFOLIO MANAGER AT ALLSPRING GLOBAL INVESTMENTS,
SINGAPORE:
"SK Hynix ( SKHY ) delivered strong results, but in today's AI
market, strong is no longer enough. Investors were looking for
additional catalysts, particularly around long-term agreements
and shareholder returns, to support a memory sector that has
become the epicentre of the AI trade. Without those signals, we
expect volatility in AI-linked equities across Asia to persist
as leveraged positions unwind and the market resets
expectations.
FRANK BENZIMRA, HEAD OF ASIA EQUITY STRATEGY, SOCIETE
GENERALE, HONG KONG:
"It's certainly a very crowded trade which is being unwound.
If you look at what is falling in the market, it has been the
stocks in which you have the most leverage, and especially you
have this single-stock leveraged ETFs, which had exploded during
the months of May and June, and you have the top which had been
reached at the end of June, and since that time you are seeing
some deleveraging at work.
"It's very difficult to say when will this selloff end, but
at the moment, it's definitely not the trade where we want to
be."
SHINGO IDE, CHIEF EQUITY STRATEGIST, NLI RESEARCH INSTITUTE,
TOKYO:
"There was no fresh event that soured sentiment; the market
is simply extending its recent trend. Japanese stocks may not
have fully completed their correction, but they had fallen to
levels where the adjustment could have run its course. For
markets such as the KOSPI, the correction may still have further
to go.
"Regarding Japanese equities, (halt in operations at some
companies due to the earthquake), has been reflected. That said,
rather than the impact of the earthquake, it feels more like a
correction in a market that had become overheated - that factor
seems stronger."
FABIEN YIP, MARKET ANALYST, IG, SYDNEY:
"What we saw earlier in the month was that the foreign
investors, a lot of them have taken profit, and that's why we've
seen a lot of selling pressure on the KOSPI as well as on the
Korean won. While that has kind of tapered off in the past few
days, it looks like the number of market participants in the
market, because it's so volatile, has kind of tapered off, so
there are less people participating in the volatility. And given
the volume is lower, it could potentially also drive prices
wilder.
"In general, the clients that we are dealing with have been
participating in the volatility, because a lot of these are
shorter-term traders, so having that volatility in place is
actually quite beneficial ... definitely seeing a lot of
interest around tech names in the past few weeks."
WEE KHOON CHONG, APAC MACRO STRATEGIST, BNY, HONG KONG:
"Market has been very volatile for some time, in particular
in Korea, as reflected in the KOSPI volatility. Today's price
action suggests that the leverage within Korean equity remains
high and further unwind could be expected. We won't say market
is in a panic mode, more like a rotation into other sectors
which has been largely out of sight for a while. Investors
flows, based on BNY's custodian data shows selling pressure
concentrated in IT sectors while broad demand in most of the
rest."
PIERRE HOEBRECHTS, DEPUTY CIO AT EAST EAGLE ASSET
MANAGEMENT, HONG KONG:
"The market gave a warning in June already, but no one
listened. Very much a technical sell off. The amount of money
that went into SK and Samsung was staggering. The number of
accounts opened in Korea combined with the local leverage and
very concentrated exposure, with the cherry on the cake being
large 2x levered foreign ETF just made it an accident waiting to
happen."
"The selloff will stop once most of the margin accounts have
been wiped out, which should be not far from here."