LONDON, June 17 (Reuters) - China's copper scrap imports
have soared due to shortages of concentrate that is processed
into refined metal used in the power and construction
industries, but record high prices mean U.S. shipments are
likely to pause.
Smelters in top copper consumer China have faced concentrate
shortages since last year when First Quantum lost the
right to operate its Cobre mine in Panama, which accounted for
1% of global mined supply in 2022.
China's copper waste and scrap imports overall climbed 25%
to 783,004 tonnes in the first four months of this year compared
to the same period in 2023, according to Trade Data Monitor
(TDM).
TDM data also shows China's scrap imports from the United
States jumped 37% to 153,059 tonnes in January to April this
year from the same period last year.
Copper scrap from the U.S. is priced at a discount to the
CME price, which hit a record $5.1985 a lb or $11,460 a
tonne on May 20 due to parties which had sold futures being
forced to buy them back or roll over positions.
"Chinese buyers are deferring U.S. copper scrap shipments,"
a source at a Chinese trading firm said, adding that China's top
scrap supplier was the United States.
The source said some Chinese buyers were looking to price
U.S. scrap against copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME),
trading at a discount to CME prices.
Deteriorating production at other mines, many in Latin
America, has exacerbated concentrate shortages and Chinese
smelters have imported more copper scrap to feed their furnaces
and protect their margins.
China is home to half of the world's copper smelters and the
largest buyer of raw materials including concentrates and scrap.
Scrap typically accounts for about 9 million tonnes or
roughly 30% of global copper supplies annually.
"Due to concentrate tightness copper smelters are processing
more scrap and blister," said Macquarie analyst Alice Fox.
"Given the cost of physical collection and processing -
during periods of significant price movement, scrap tonnages on
a contained copper basis can move by up to one million tonnes
per annum, effectively rebalancing the market during periods of
high or low prices."
Macquarie expects the gap between copper supply and demand
to widen to 1.6 million tonnes in 2030 from a deficit around
86,000 tonnes this year.
(Reporting by Pratima Desai; Editing by Ros Russell)