Nov 10 (Reuters) - Retail investors are dialing back
their risky bets after the longest bullish streak in recent
years, J.P. Morgan analysts wrote in a note, marking a shift in
sentiment that could sap momentum in high-flying U.S. stocks.
The brokerage's readout from Friday showed a drop in bullish
options bets, with call volumes slipping compared to puts, after
roughly 140 days of retail bullishness, the longest stretch in
its four years of tracking such data.
Calls typically signal expectations for prices to rise,
while puts reflect a bearish view.
The retreat underscores that concerns over stretched
valuations, a prolonged government shutdown and uncertainty over
interest-rate cuts have eroded sentiment among retail investors.
Retail risk appetite often serves as a barometer for broader
confidence, especially in momentum-driven sectors. Once
dismissed as a fad, retail traders have helped cushion selloffs
in recent years, treating market dips as buying opportunities.
A note from Vanda Research last month said retail investors
had consistently treated market pullbacks as opportunities to
add exposure. That safety net, however, may now be slipping
away.
TMT SHARES FACE THE BRUNT
J.P. Morgan's retail sentiment gauge has also turned lower,
with the pullback most pronounced in technology, media and
telecom shares.
The brokerage said hedge funds with short positions could
benefit, but equity long/short strategies could suffer.
Last week, Robinhood Markets ( HOOD ), an online brokerage
favored by retail traders, posted stronger-than-expected
earnings. Its CFO Jason Warnick said customers remain drawn to
high-growth names, but are "continuing to stay prudent".
(Reporting by Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun
Koyyur)