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Tariff cut prompts rush to secure China-made goods
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Retailers face potential supply chain bottlenecks
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Freight costs expected to rise amid increased demand
By Casey Hall, Siddharth Cavale
NEW YORK, May 15 (Reuters) - U.S. retailers including
Walmart ( WMT ) and several clothing brands are racing to secure
China-made merchandise for the busy summer shopping season
starting in late May after Washington and Beijing agreed to
temporarily slash tariffs.
The agreement on Monday to lower U.S. tariffs on shipments from
China to 30% from 145% for the next three months prompted a
restart in orders and shipments for sundresses, bathing suits,
clogs and sunscreens from Chinese factories, according to
logistics company Portless, which helps U.S. e-commerce brands
import goods from China via air.
"Once the tariff cut was announced, our clients said 'we are
in go-go-go mode,'" said Izzy Rosenzweig, CEO of Portless, which
counts swimwear brand Hapari, and bug repellent maker NatPat
among its clients. "They said 'let's restart production and
let's restart shipping.'"
U.S. businesses largely rely on ocean shipping but that can
take between 30 and 60 days for goods to reach the United States
from China, depending on the destination and ship size, although
orders for the summer can start in late winter or early spring
to allow for the manufacturing of new designs, John Harmon,
managing director of technology research at Coresight Research,
said.
U.S. retailers and apparel companies typically begin
shipping merchandise from China at least two to three months
before the summer season starts on Memorial Day, which this year
falls on May 26.
But after U.S. President Donald Trump hit Beijing with
retaliatory and fentanyl tariffs totaling 145% on April
9, several U.S. companies paused their orders. Container
bookings from China to the U.S. fell nearly 50% in the last week
of April, according to data provided to brokerage TD Cowen by
container tracking firm Vizion.
This trend went into reverse on Monday, but Harmon said
restarting supply chains after the April pause could take some
time.
"It has been super busy these two days," said Liu, a toy
manufacturer from the export hub of Dongguan in Southern China,
who declined to give her full name for privacy reasons.
"We are booking containers and some of our goods are already
on the way to Shenzhen port. In recent months there were fewer
cargo buses on the road but today ... there is a traffic jam on
the way to the port," said Liu, who serves customers including
Walmart ( WMT ), the biggest single importer of container goods into the
United States.
CONTAINER-COSTS WORRIES
Despite the rush to deliver goods to the U.S., freight rates
have not yet spiked. The spot rate to send a 40-foot (12 m)
container from China to the U.S. West Coast rose 3% week-on-week
to $2,395 on Monday, data from freight booking and payments
platform Freightos shows, indicating that businesses were not
swamping shippers with bookings.
This is half of the price in February, when many large
players were rushing to stock up to defuse the expected tariff
action by Trump.
But companies like Bogg Bag are starting to worry that
container costs are soon going to go through the roof. Kim
Vaccarella, CEO of the tote-bag maker, sold at retailers
including Target ( TGT ), said on Wednesday that she has
drastically sped up manufacturing for her China-made totes to
get as many as possible en route to New Jersey by August. She is
sticking to a few popular items instead of many new products at
once so that they can move fast.
Retailers including Walmart ( WMT ), which reports earnings on Thursday,
and rivals Costco and Target ( TGT ) front-loaded orders at the
start of the year, CFRA research analyst Arun Sundaram wrote in
a note on May 13.
Walmart's ( WMT ) inventories rose about 3% in the quarter ended
January 31, its first rise in nearly two years, Sundaram said.
At warehouse club chain Costco, inventories were up nearly
10%, while those of surf and skateboard apparel retailer Zumiez ( ZUMZ )
rose about 14% in the three months to February.
Target's ( TGT ) inventories rose 7% during the same period.
While Monday's tariff reprieve is a potential boon for U.S.
brands eager to stock up on summer merchandise, the current rush
may create supply-chain bottlenecks, though likely less severe
than during the pandemic years of 2021-2022, said Sundaram, who
expects a rise in freight costs.
Some manufacturers of Halloween decorations told Reuters on
Wednesday that they would have to scramble to produce and ship
hanging skeletons and costume props to the United States within
the 90-day window.
Gene Seroka, executive director of the Port of Los
Angeles, said businesses may not be able to fully prepare for
both summer and back-to-school in July, another big retail
selling season.
"Right now we're looking at the last orders that would go in
for back-to-school, and maybe some lingering orders for summer
fashion. So that's really tight," Seroka said.
Stephen Lamar, who heads the American Apparel & Footwear
Association, which counts Adidas America as a member,
flagged a risk of congestion at ports if hundreds of companies
rush to bring in goods now.
"The tariff war has delayed back-to-school shipping by a
month. But it's not like school districts can delay school by a
month," Lamar said.