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Romanians vote in parliamentary election on Sunday

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Far-right parties expect boost from presidential vote

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Top court orders recount of presidential first round

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Court will decide on Monday whether to annual first round

By Luiza Ilie

BUCHAREST, Dec 1 (Reuters) - Romanians vote in a

parliamentary election on Sunday in which the far right is

expected to gain from uncertainty over whether the shock result

in a presidential election will stand.

Days after far-right politician Calin Georgescu won most

votes in the presidential election first round, an opinion poll

this week showed the hard-right Alliance for Uniting Romanians

(AUR) had a narrow lead over the governing Social Democrats.

Gains by far-right groupings in Sunday's parliamentary vote

after a campaign dominated by voters' concerns over budget

problems and the cost of living could upend Romania's

pro-Western orientation and undermine support for Ukraine,

political analysts said.

"People who have serenely voted for Georgescu do not realise

we are essentially talking about a total trajectory shift,"

political scientist Cristian Pirvulescu said.

Romania is a member of the European Union and NATO.

Georgescu's unexpected success last Sunday aroused

suspicions of interference in the campaign, prompted a vote

recount and led to a defeated candidate asking the country's top

court to rerun the first round of voting.

The confusion means the parliamentary election is going

ahead with voters uncertain whether the outcome of the

presidential first round vote will stand.

They also do not know whether the presidential run-off -

scheduled for Dec. 8 between Georgescu and centrist Elena

Lasconi - will go ahead or be held at a later date.

The Constitutional Court considered the situation on Friday

but decided to put off until Monday a decision on whether to

annul the first round.

Georgescu ran as an independent challenging entrenched

mainstream parties, but political analysts say far-right parties

are likely to gain from the uncertainty.

"The net beneficiaries ... are Georgescu and the

anti-establishment camp which is now getting additional

ammunition: here is how state institutions work, how

discretionary they are," said Sergiu Miscoiu, a political

science professor at Babes-Bolyai University.

An AtlasIntel opinion poll conducted from Nov. 26-28 put the

hard-right AUR on 22.4%, with Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu's

Social Democrats on 21.4%, down 10 percentage points over two

weeks and Lasconi's Save Romania Union at 17.5%. The poll did

not factor in the recount.

BUDGET, JOBS AND INVESTMENT

Georgescu, 62, has been critical of NATO and Romania's

stance on Ukraine, and has said Bucharest should engage, not

challenge Russia. Opinion polls had not predicted his success.

AUR has 8.5% of seats in the current legislature, and two

far-right splinter parties could also enter parliament.

Ciolacu ranked third in the presidential election first

round, reflecting voters' discontent with his government after

campaigning on a promise of stability while the war in Ukraine

continues.

The next government will face a tough task in trying to cut

a budget deficit that is the highest in the EU at 8% of economic

output. It will also face pressure to uphold defence spending

goals when Donald Trump's U.S. presidency starts.

Romania has the EU's biggest share of the population at risk

of poverty, and swathes of the country need investment.

"We have an unevenly developed country and the biggest

frustrations accumulate in these periphery areas which will fall

prey to candidates who know how to address them," said

anthropologist Bogdan Iancu.

In towns such as Victoria, in the shadow of the Fagaras

mountains in the Southern Carpathians, the promise of jobs is

vital. In the three decades since a communist-era chemical plant

was hugely scaled back, the city's population halved to 6,400

and hundreds of residents endure long commutes to work.

"Firstly, I will vote for factories to come here. So that we

have a place to work," said Mihai Coroianu, 52, shovelling snow

in the town's main square.

Town mayor Camelia Bertea has secured 31 million euros ($33

million) in EU funds for local projects in three years,

including reopening the local hospital, the equivalent of

Victoria's budget for 31 years.

The government has also secured investment by German defence

group Rheinmetall to build a gunpowder facility near

Victoria by 2027, providing hundreds of jobs.

"The future of a small town without financial prospects can

only be EU funds," Bertea said.

($1 = 0.9478 euros)