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Saudi says OPEC+ can pause or reverse oil output boost, criticises Goldman Sachs
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Saudi says OPEC+ can pause or reverse oil output boost, criticises Goldman Sachs
Jun 6, 2024 9:25 AM

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Saudi energy minister says Goldman created bearish

narrative

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Russia says OPEC+ ready to adjust the deal

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OPEC SecGen says oil demand is good

(Releads with Saudi minister comments)

By Vladimir Soldatkin and Olesya Astakhova

ST PETERSBURG, June 6 (Reuters) - OPEC+ can pause or

reverse oil production increases if the market weakens, the

Saudi energy minister said on Thursday, adding he disagreed with

the bearish view of U.S. bank Goldman Sachs ( GS ) of OPEC+'s deal on

Sunday.

Goldman Sachs ( GS ) declined to comment.

Some OPEC+ members, including Russia, agreed on Sunday to

phase out voluntary cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day over a

year beginning from October. OPEC+ also agreed to maintain other

cuts amounting to 3.66 million bpd until end-2025.

Oil has declined this week, with benchmark Brent crude

touching a four-month low below $77 a barrel on Tuesday,

although on Thursday prices had recovered to around $79.

Many analysts said the meeting was bearish for oil prices as

it called for boosting supply. Goldman Sachs ( GS ) was one of the

first to issue a short, two-page report on June 2, headlined

"Bearish phase out of extra voluntary cuts".

Speaking at Russia's Economic Forum in St Petersburg, which

he attended along with a number of other top ministers and

officials from OPEC+, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin

Salman said Goldman Sachs ( GS ) had used incorrect figures to come to

its conclusions.

He did not specify exactly which figures were incorrect.

"I've counted that, in the two pages, seven times they

mentioned bearish, bearish, bearish. Worse, technically worse

and professionally worse, they have put numbers that are wrong,"

he said.

Prince Abdulaziz said OPEC+, which groups the Organization

of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including

Russia, can pause or reverse production increases if it decides

the market is not strong enough.

"It's a year and a half agreement, it has all the mechanics,

some of the mechanics are not new, we have also exercised it

before... Especially this issue of pausing or reversing," he

added, referring to the previous practices when OPEC+ paused on

releasing more oil.

'MISINTERPRETATION'

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said the group

might adjust the deal if necessary, adding that the post-meeting

price drop was caused by misinterpretation of the agreement and

"speculative factors".

"We are ready to react quickly to market uncertainties,"

Novak told the same panel of speakers.

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais told the same

briefing demand for oil was strong, citing a rebound in travel.

Sunday's meeting was held online, but eight OPEC+ members

which have been making voluntary cuts met in person in Riyadh.

"I would call them the 'Great 8'," UAE Energy Minister

Suhail Al Mazrouei said at the forum, referring to his country,

Saudi Arabia, Russia, Algeria, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Oman and

Iraq.

The UAE received a higher output target as part of Sunday's

agreement to reflect its efforts to boost production capacity.

The issue of quotas is controversial for OPEC+ and last year

prompted Angola to leave the group.

Novak said Russia was working on establishing its oil

production capacity by autumn 2025. OPEC+ on Sunday postponed

discussions on output capacity until November 2025.

"It's a difficult issue," Novak said.

(Reporting by Vladimir Soldatkin and Olesya Astakhova;

additional reporting by Yousef Saba, writing by Maxim Rodionov

and Alex Lawler; editing by Jason Neely, Jan Harvey and Dmitry

Zhdannikov)

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