*
President-elect Trump has threatened 60% tariffs on US
imports
from China
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Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia see signs of factories
relocating
from China
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Chinese investments expected in autos, electronics,
semiconductors, say industrial park developers
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Risk of Trump expanding tariffs to Southeast Asian
countries,
analysts say
By Devjyot Ghoshal and Chayut Setboonsarng
BANGKOK, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Companies have been moving
factories from China to Southeast Asia, anticipating Donald
Trump would slap high tariffs on Beijing if he regained the
White House, a move set to accelerate with his election win,
industrial park developers in the region say.
Trump, who won a resounding victory on Tuesday, has
threatened 60% tariffs on goods coming into the U.S. from China,
much higher than the levies of 7.5% to 25% he imposed in his
first term, a major risk for the world's second-largest economy.
Southeast Asia - with auto and electronics factories from
Thailand to Vietnam and Malaysia - will likely benefit at
China's expense, said two executives, two business groups, a
lawyer and an analyst in the region.
Developers of industrial parks are adding Chinese speakers
and preparing land tracts for factories, a sign of how Trump,
who takes office in January, could reshuffle global supply
chains.
As Trump geared up his campaign to retake the presidency
earlier this year, calls from Chinese customers flooded WHA
Group, one of Thailand's largest industrial estate
developers, said CEO Jareeporn Jarukornsakul.
"There was (already) a relocation to Southeast Asia, but
this round is going to be more intense," she said, referring to
Trump's 2017-2021 first term.
WHA is expanding its sales force and adding Chinese speakers
to teams overseeing maintenance and administration of industrial
parks spanning more than 12,000 hectares (30,000 acres) in
Thailand and Vietnam, Jareeporn said.
Of the 90 factories that have opened this year in industrial
parks run across Southeast Asia by Thailand's Amata Corp
, some two-thirds have been companies relocating
facilities from China, said Vikrom Kromadit, the developer's
founder and chairman.
TRUMP 'NEEDS SOME FRIENDS'
Trump will be a "big punch" to China, potentially doubling
the number of firms looking to move from there into Amata's 150
square km (60 square miles) of industrial estates in four
Southeast Asian countries, Vikrom said.
Construction begins this month on an Amata industrial park
in Laos, where China has built a high-speed rail line connecting
Kunming in southwestern China to the Laotian capital Vientiane,
he said.
Thailand, a regional automobile manufacturing hub, has drawn
over $1.4 billion in investment from Chinese automakers into its
fast-expanding electric vehicle industry.
"We want a lot of investment from China so we can sell to
America," said Thai Commerce Minister Pichai Naripthaphan.
"I believe this will happen," told reporters on Thursday.
"The Americans love us, the Chinese love us - we don't have to
choose sides."
Malaysia, hoping to draw over $100 billion in new
investments to its semiconductor sector, could benefit from a
realignment of supply chains, said leaders of two business
groups.
"This shift could provide Malaysia with new opportunities to
capture a larger share of exports to the United States and other
key markets," said Soh Thian Lai, president of the Federation of
Malaysian Manufacturers.
But risks persist, particularly with some indications that
Trump may consider tariffs on imports from countries across the
region, said Leif Schneider, head of international law firm
Luther in Vietnam.
Vietnam, a major exporter to the U.S. with $90 billion
bilateral trade surplus between January and September, is
bracing for volatility under Trump.
"Trump will have to choose - you can be anti-China, but
you'll need to have some friends in Southeast Asia," said WHA's
Jareeporn. "He is a negotiator, so we will negotiate."
(Reporting by Devjyot Ghoshal and Chayut Setboonsarng in
BANGKOK, Additional reporting by Ashley Tang in KUALA LUMPUR and
Francesco Guarascio and Phuong Nguyen in HANOI)