*
300 bcm of LNG to enter market in 2026-2030
*
ASEAN power demand to grow 300GW in next decade
*
Coal to be part of solution to meet growing electricity
demand
*
Calls on Asian countries to mine and process critical
minerals
(Adds comments, details on sanctions, prices in paragraphs 2,
3-12)
By Florence Tan and Siyi Liu
SINGAPORE, Oct 28 (Reuters) - Sanctions on oil-exporting
countries could push up crude prices but the effect will be
limited because of surplus capacity, the International Energy
Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol said on Tuesday.
Global oil prices jumped more than 7% last week
with Brent futures trading at $65 per barrel after U.S.
President Donald Trump hit Russia's Rosneft and Lukoil
with
sanctions
to pressure Russian President Vladimir Putin to end the
Ukraine war.
While sanctions could push prices upward, the effect is
limited with oil prices holding at around $60 due to a huge
amount of surplus capacity, Birol told reporters on the
sidelines of the Singapore International Energy Week.
The sanctions prompted Chinese state oil majors to suspend
Russian oil purchases in the short term, trade sources told
Reuters. Refiners in India, the largest buyer of seaborne
Russian oil, were set to sharply cut Russian crude imports,
industry sources said.
However, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries and their allies, also known as OPEC+, is leaning
towards a modest output boost in December, four sources familiar
with the talks said.
"Today, despite so many political tensions around the
world, Middle East, Russia, Ukraine, major economic, trade wars,
oil prices are still $60, exactly what we said," Birol said
"The oil and gas markets will enter a very distinct
period, which is in the absence of major geopolitical tensions,
we are going to see lower oil and gas prices."
About 300 billion cubic metres of new liquefied natural
gas supply will be entering the market between 2026 and 2030, of
these half will be from the U.S., Canada, Australia and Qatar,
Birol said.
He also expects coal to remain a part of the solution
for skyrocketing electricity demand in the region in the next 10
years, which could see ASEAN requiring additional electricity of
300 gigawatts, equal to one Japan.
Birol also called on Asian countries to mine and process
critical minerals to diversify supply.
The United States signed a
flurry of deals
on trade and critical minerals with four Southeast Asian
partners on Sunday, looking to address trade imbalances and
diversify supply chains amid tighter export curbs on rare earths
by China.
"To mine them, but more importantly, to refine and
process them, because just mining and ... export it as it is, is
a lazy approach," Birol said.