* M&A deals reach over $1 trillion so far this year, 27%
increase from last year
* Corporate confidence remains high despite geopolitical
tensions and oil price spikes
* AI's impact on business causing some companies to pause
M&A activities
By Svea Herbst-Bayliss and Dawn Kopecki
NEW ORLEANS, March 19 (Reuters) - The value of
dealmaking is close to all-time highs, even as corporate
executives struggle to navigate the Trump administration's
tariffs, wars on multiple continents and how artificial
intelligence will shape the economy in the years ahead.
Market turmoil and political uncertainty dominated the opening
sessions at Tulane University's Corporate Law Institute
conference in New Orleans this week, where nearly 1,000 of the
world's highest-profile investment bankers and M&A lawyers
mingled over cocktails, crab cakes and gumbo.
"Is instability the new normal?" said Stephan Feldgoise, co-head
of global M&A at Goldman Sachs ( GS ), opening the conference
with the keynote address on Thursday. This much market
volatility would normally kill M&A, he said, yet deals are
soaring.
Fewer deals are getting signed but bigger companies are being
bought and sold, driving the value of activity to lofty levels.
More than $1 trillion in deals has been announced so far this
year, 27% more than this time last year, according to data
compiled by Dealogic.
"M&A is running at an all-time high," Feldgoise said. "It is
phenomenal."
Confidence on corporate boards remains high, even as the
U.S.-Israeli war on Iran brings wild spikes in oil prices and
inflation fears run high.
"It feels like the new normal that there will be
uncertainty," Audra Cohen, co-managing partner of law firm
Sullivan & Cromwell's general practice group, said on a panel
discussion.
Paul, Weiss Chairman Scott Barshay, speaking on the same
panel, forecast that 2026 could even break 2021's record of
deals.
The hedge fund investors who push for changes at companies
will continue to push them to simplify operations, which will
drive M&A as they spin out non-core assets, according to bankers
and lawyers.
Activist investors ranging from Elliott Investment
Management to Jana Partners have quietly pushed some
corporations to streamline their businesses.
"We see no slowing of that trend and expect it to continue,"
Goldman's Feldgoise said.
Hostile takeovers like the fight between Netflix ( NFLX ) and
Paramount Skydance ( PSKY ) to win Warner Bros Discovery ( WBD )
may pick up as the year continues.
"Volatility makes it tougher to get friendly deals done,"
Barshay said, noting that buyers and sellers often have
differing views on price when the share price gyrates and market
uncertainty is higher.
"Stability makes it easier to cut deals, and this year
hostiles are likely to go up," he said.
The speakers also said deals are closing faster under the Trump
administration, assuaging a worry many investors and executives
had in past years when there was greater scrutiny under the
Biden administration.
Some companies, however, are pausing M&A as they figure out how
AI impacts their businesses, the panelists said.
"AI is as big a change as the internet being introduced,"
Barshay said, adding that some of his clients are tapping the
brakes on mergers as they try to sort out how the new technology
will impact buyers' and sellers' views of transactions.