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Tariff deadline set off spike in cross-border trucking rates, data shows
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Tariff deadline set off spike in cross-border trucking rates, data shows
Mar 6, 2025 9:52 AM

March 6 (Reuters) - Rates for cross-border trucking to

and from the U.S. jumped in the lead up to President Donald

Trump's new tariffs on Canada and Mexico, as companies scrambled

to accelerate shipments ahead of an expected increase in costs.

It marked a brief moment in the sun for the U.S. trucking

industry after a down cycle that has now lasted for nearly three

years, the longest and deepest since the global financial

crisis. Weak demand and a surplus of trucks on the road were to

blame for the low rates.

The 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada took

effect on Tuesday, though some automakers received a one-month

reprieve.

In the past two weeks, spot rates from U.S. to Canada for

dry vans and refrigerated trucks and containers hit a two-year

high, having risen 18% and 35%, respectively, since the November

election, data from DAT freight & analytics showed.

Load volumes for dry vans on the Toronto to Chicago route

surged 57% week-over-week before the tariff deadline.

"There's clear evidence shippers north of the border were

desperate to get loads into the U.S. before midnight on Monday

this week," said Dean Croke, principal analyst at DAT.

Rates will likely reverse once the new duties are imposed,

Croke added. "Uncertainty in the manufacturing sector due to

tariffs will most likely dampen demand even further and

therefore reduce truckload volumes in the process."

In the southern border city of Laredo, Texas, the volume of

loads being moved by DAT's carrier network increased 12% last

week, suggesting companies made a last-ditch effort to get loads

into the U.S. at the eleventh hour.

The refrigerated goods market saw volumes rise 35% on a

weekly basis, driven by an increase in produce crossing into the

McAllen freight market in Pharr Texas.

On a month-over-month basis, volumes and rates for dry vans

moving from Mexico to U.S. were up 1.5% and 3.5%, respectively,

a smaller jump compared with the Canadian border.

"Dry freight Mexican shippers did not appear to react the

same way except for produce shippers," Croke said.

However, experts expect the current volatility in rates to

disappear and volumes to drop quickly as tariffs are imposed.

"It's possible many shippers will be cautious about new

orders the first few days after tariffs are implemented to gauge

if the tariffs are temporary," said C.H. Robinson's ( CHRW ) Global

Forwarding president, Mike Short.

Trucking and delivery firms such as J.B. Hunt and

United Parcel Service ( UPS ) are some of the U.S. firms exposed

to tariff-related revenue downturns that will impact almost

every transportation company in the country.

(Reporting by Abhinav Parmar in Bengaluru and Lisa Baertlein in

Los Angeles; Editing by Devika Syamnath)

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