DETROIT, April 5 (Reuters) - Henry Ford democratized car
ownership with his ultra-cheap, mass-produced Model T, and Elon
Musk once promised to do the same for electric cars with a Tesla
that could sell for $25,000.
Now, sources have told Reuters Musk is putting aside the
idea of bargain-priced Tesla for the masses in favor of
self-driving robo-taxis. Musk replied via a post on his X.com
platform that "Reuters is lying (again)." He did not identify
any specific inaccuracies.
The uncertainty over Tesla's plans, and delays to EV
projects at rival automakers, present would-be EV buyers and
Biden administration environmental policy makers with tough
choices.
"A critical precursor to the EV transition is much greater
availability of more models across more segments and at more
price points," said Peter Slowik, U.S passenger vehicles lead at
the International Council on Clean Transportation, a non-profit
research group.
Tesla and Musk did not immediately respond to a request for
comment.
Prices for new EVs are dropping in the United States. But
they are still roughly $5,000 higher than the $46,997 average
transaction price for a new vehicle, according to Cox Automotive
data.
Elon Musk set a goal in 2006 of building a profitable EV
Tesla could sell for $25,000 - less than half the current
average for EVs.
But in the marketplace, Tesla took advantage of its
superiority in software-driven features and charging to charge
premium prices until competition and slowing sales forced it to
slash prices starting last year.
"I always thought Tesla should stay in that upper quadrant,"
said Gary Silberg, head of KPMG's global automotive practice.
Look at Apple, he said. "They do not make a $100 phone."
It's not that there are no cheap EVs.
China's BYD sells a version of its Dolphin EV for $13,865,
and BYD sells versions of its Seagull EV for as low as $9,700 in
China - cheaper than many gasoline cars. The cheapest Chinese
EVs lack the range and features Western markets demand, but U.S.
and European auto executives see these low-cost Chinese vehicles
as a threat.
Chinese automakers are ramping up exports and gaining market
share in Europe, Latin America and Southeast Asia - all
important markets for Tesla and established automakers.
"If you cannot compete fair and square with the Chinese
around the world, then 20-30% of revenue is at risk," Ford CEO
Jim Farley told an investor conference in February. Musk warned
in January that Chinese EV manufacturers could "demolish"
Western rivals.
Ford has launched what Farley called a "skunk works" project
to develop a low-cost EV architecture. The project team is based
in California, far from Ford's Michigan headquarters.
U.S. President Joe Biden and Republican presidential
candidate Donald Trump both say they will block access to the
U.S. market for Chinese vehicles. Biden has called for the
investigation of whether Chinese vehicles represent a security
risk.
But without cheaper EVs, the Biden administration's goals of
boosting electric vehicles to more than half of new vehicle
sales by 2030 could be at risk.
"As an industry right now we are struggling to make
electromobility affordable," Stellantis ( STLA ) CEO Carlos Tavares said
during a forum this week.
Concerns about affordability have not stopped automakers
from dropping cheap cars of all kinds from their new vehicle
lineups for years.
New vehicles priced below $20,000 accounted for just 0.4% of
U.S. auto sales last year, down from 7% five years ago,
according to data compiled by Edmunds.com analyst Jessica
Caldwell.
General Motors ( GM ) killed its cheapest EV, the Chevrolet Bolt,
last year.
"If there's really not many automakers putting a competitive
vehicle out in the low-cost market, you're going to start to get
more sympathy for having someone else come into the market,"
said Mark Wakefield, co-leader of consulting firm AlixPartners'
automotive practice.
In the short term, many consumers will be able to find
$25,000 EVs on used car lots. A 2022 Tesla Model 3 long range
sold for an average $25,859 in March, according to Cox data.
(Written by Joseph White. Reporting By Joseph White, Giulio
Piovaccari in Milan and Abhirup Roy in San Francisco; Editing by
Anna Driver)