*
Tariff-related procedural delays may disrupt logistics
*
Cargo movement saw a slight pick-up in December and
January
*
Red Sea avoidance expected to continue for a while
(Updates April 1 story with details in paragraph 9, TV images
are available)
By Yuka Obayashi
TOKYO, April 1 (Reuters) - Nippon Yusen (NYK),
Japan's largest shipping line, is concerned that U.S. President
Donald Trump's tariffs could push up the cost of automobiles and
daily goods, denting consumer demand and slowing cargo flows,
its president said.
"The tariffs are not directly borne by consumers, but the
burden ultimately falls on them, which in turn reduces the
actual flow of goods. That's our biggest concern," President
Takaya Soga told Reuters in an interview on Monday.
Trump last week unveiled plans to impose a 25% tariff on
automobile imports, a move expected to hit Japan's export-driven
economy. He has also vowed to announce reciprocal tariffs
targeting all trading partners on Wednesday.
"Tariffs could have a considerable impact on the economy,"
Soga said, adding that the extent of the impact on shipping and
logistics companies will depend on actual cargo movements.
However, Soga sees potential benefits from the trade war.
As seen during the COVID-19 pandemic, even if cargo volumes
decline, tariff-related procedural delays could disrupt
logistics, tighten ship demand and lift freight rates, he said.
And if China shifts to sourcing raw materials from outside
the U.S., NYK could find business opportunities.
A rush for general consumer goods drove up cargo movement
in December until just before the Chinese New Year in
anticipation of U.S. tariffs, but there has been no major shift
in material flows since they took effect, Soga said.
The United States is also planning to charge fees for
docking at U.S. ports on any ship that is part of a fleet that
includes Chinese- built or Chinese-flagged vessels and will push
allies to do similar or face retaliation.
Of the roughly 800 vessels owned or operated by NYK, less
than 10% are China-built, according to the company.
"The U.S. government will carefully examine the policy,
including whether it will be implemented, so we cannot say now
that we will stop ordering vessels from China," he said.
With ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Soga
expects Red Sea avoidance to continue for a while. Disruption in
the Red Sea due to attacks by Yemen's Houthi militants absorbed
extra capacity last year, as many ships took a longer route
around Southern Africa.
While container vessel congestion in the Panama Canal has
largely been resolved, NYK is urging the Panama Canal Authority
to reinstate Tier 1 priority for liquefied natural gas (LNG)
tanker traffic, Soga said.
Regarding the investment plans in vessels involved in
offshore wind power projects, Soga said the company's plans in
Japan may be delayed due to slower-than-expected market
development, but overseas investments will proceed sooner.