PARIS, Nov 4 (Reuters) - French oil major TotalEnergies
does not anticipate that Donald Trump would pull the U.S. out of
the Paris Agreement on climate change or undo Inflation
Reduction Act (IRA) legislation if he became U.S. president
again, the company's strategy director said on Monday.
Aurelien Hamelle made the comments while presenting Total's
energy outlook forecasting global demand scenarios to 2050.
The company's current trends scenario also does not project
a lifting of the current U.S. ban on new liquefied natural gas
(LNG) export facilities.
WHY IT'S IMPORTANT
Ahead of Tuesday's election, former president Trump has
campaigned on a platform involving a rollback of climate
regulations passed under President Joe Biden designed to curb
the release of greenhouse gases from the oil and gas industry.
That includes leaving the Paris Agreement, under which
countries pledge to limit global warming to 2 degrees Celsius by
2050, and potentially undoing Biden's flagship IRA, which
provides massive subsidies and incentives to clean energy
technologies.
CONTEXT
TotalEnergies is a major buyer of U.S. natural gas for
export, with 10 million metric tons a year under contract,
several upstream U.S. shale field holdings, and a pipeline of
future projects.
The company also has a 25 gigawatt portfolio of solar, wind
and battery projects in the U.S., and is considering several
production sites for renewable fuels.
KEY QUOTES
"We take into account existing legislation in our current
trends scenario, and for the IRA to be called into question you
would need a Republican-controlled Congress, which the polls say
is unlikely," Hamelle said.
"What we also see with the IRA, which has offered a
framework of support for private finance in all low-carbon
technologies, is that Republican states and districts have also
benefited from the job creation ...
"What is clear is that the United States will set the pace
of the global energy transition ... We have not forecast a
'worse than current trends' scenario."