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Uranium market recovery expected after Trump signs new US
nuclear energy orders
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Analysts foresee long-term uranium supply confidence and
increased contracting activity
By Mrinalika Roy
May 27 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's latest
orders seeking to revitalize the U.S. nuclear energy industry
could pull the uranium market out of its current lull and boost
investor interest, industry experts said.
Spot uranium prices have fallen about 30% from peaks hit in
2023 as institutional investors pulled out, spooked by recession
fears and geopolitical instability.
The prices briefly declined to $64.30 per pound this year
after they touched a 14-year high of $82 in February last year
amid a global clean energy push and expectations of tight
supply.
But the latest executive orders, signed on Friday, could
reinvigorate uranium production in the U.S. to help meet surging
power demand, industry insiders said.
The demand surge is primarily driven by data centers that
require massive energy to power the AI boom, and nuclear energy
is an attractive option for Big tech firms such as Amazon ( AMZN ),
Google, Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Meta given its reliability and near-zero
carbon footprint.
Nuclear projects, however, have been facing rising costs and
competition from natural gas plants. Vogtle, the last U.S.
reactor to come online, was $16 billion over budget and delayed
by several years.
Curtis Moore, senior vice president at Energy Fuels ( UUUU ), said
the current weakness in uranium has made it difficult to advance
new domestic projects, given a lack of investor interest - a
sentiment echoed by other firms in the sector.
Stocks of Major uranium-linked companies Energy Fuels ( UUUU )
, Uranium Energy Corp ( UEC ) and Encore Energy
plunged 13%, 23% and 53%, respectively, this year.
Their shares rose between 17% and 23% on Friday after the
orders were signed.
"(The orders) will provide further confidence that the
Federal funds already earmarked to support the domestic nuclear
fuel supply chain (will) get deployed quickly which in turn
should attract more private investment," said Nick Amicucci of
Evercore ISI.
Analysts see further upside, with incentive prices for new
uranium production estimated above $100/lb.
"Even before the AI boom and SMR (Small Modular Reactors)
hype, the uranium outlook was strong," said Robert Crayfourd
from Geiger Counter.
Spot uranium prices are currently around $70/lb, with term
contracts trending around $80/lb.
"(The decision) paves the way for renewed contracting and
long-term supply confidence," said Marco Mencini, head of
research, Plenisfer Investments.
Currently, U.S. utilities hold less than two years of
inventory, with contracting down 40% in 2024.
The executive orders include a directive for fast-tracking
licenses for new reactors, which would in turn boost contracting
by utilities.
"This is essentially a wartime defense measure," said Justus
Parmar of Fortuna Investments. "We produce only 1 million pounds
of uranium annually against a consumption of 50 million pounds.
Nuclear energy is no longer optional - it's essential."
Industry insiders expect the policy to accelerate deployment
of small modular reactors, encourage capital inflows and support
reactor life extensions.
Travis McPherson of NexGen Energy forecasts "a mad rush to
secure uranium sources."
"It will be like musical chairs where many will be left
standing without a chair."
(Reporting by Mrinalika Roy, additional reporting by Vallari
Srivastava and Seher Dareen; Editing by Shinjini Ganguli)