May 13 (Reuters) - As television executives prepare
lavish stage presentations in New York this week to dazzle
advertisers during the annual TV upfront sales season, a harsh
economic reality looms offstage -- digital video advertising now
eclipses spending on traditional television ads.
The shift in spending and competition from tech players like
Amazon ( AMZN ) has taken a toll on media companies' financial
results, raising the stakes for the annual showcase of TV
content to attract spending commitments from advertisers.
"We've definitely seen that audience erosion in linear TV in
certain pockets -- especially more so in entertainment," said
Nicole McCurnin, director of advertising insights at ad tracking
firm Guideline. "But I do see, broad strokes, ad companies'
attention is just going more so towards those digital
platforms."
Digital video refers to a broad category of TV alternatives
that includes paid streaming services like Netflix ( NFLX ),
social video platforms such as TikTok, free ad-supported TV
offerings like Pluto TV and cable replacement services including
YouTube TV. It will account for an estimated $62.9 billion in
U.S. ad spending in 2024, according to an April report from the
Interactive Advertising Bureau and Guideline.
That represents 52% of the projected spending on video
advertising this year, reflecting a change in viewing habits
nearly two decades in the making.
Walt Disney ( DIS ), Warner Bros Discovery ( WBD ), Fox
and Comcast's ( CMCSA ) NBCUniversal all reported
declines in domestic television ad revenue in the most recent
quarter, though NBCU's exclusive streaming of an NFL Wild Card
game on its Peacock service helped fuel revenue, offsetting
those declines.
Many of the streaming services launched to capitalize on
changing consumer viewing behavior "are still bleeding cash
while declines in the traditional television business
accelerate," said Richard Greenfield, media analyst at LightShed
Partners. "They simply pivoted too late."
The fragmenting of the video landscape is well understood --
and media companies like NBCUniversal have developed new
advertising tools that let marketers' messages ride along with
their content, wherever it appears. For example, a T-Mobile ad
featuring U.S. TV show "Saturday Night Live's" Chloe Fineman
could air during the live network TV broadcast of "SNL," appear
the next day on NBCU's Peacock streaming service and show up on
social platforms like X, TikTok and YouTube.
"Regardless of where that person is who's in your target ...
you can go follow them, wherever they are," NBCUniversal global
advertising chairman Mark Marshall told Reuters. "The technology
and capability just wasn't available until this year."
Ahead of the upfront advertiser presentations, Disney ( DIS ) and
Warner Bros Discovery ( WBD ) announced they would combine their
Disney+, Hulu and Max streaming services this summer in a bundle
of programming reminiscent of cable television. Such a
combination might reduce subscriber cancellations and perhaps
coax money-losing competitors to follow suit, analysts said.
"We view a re-bundling of traditional media content on
streaming platforms as a key to making the space investable
again," wrote TD Cowen's Doug Creutz.
Meanwhile, digital rivals Amazon ( AMZN ) and Netflix ( NFLX ) are hosting
their own advertiser presentations in New York -- the Seattle
retail giant, for the first time -- to capture shifting ad
dollars.
Amazon ( AMZN ) launched ads within Prime Video for all customers in
January, requiring users to pay for a higher-priced tier to
remove ads. The move will boost Amazon's ( AMZN ) revenue and likely come
at the expense of traditional TV companies' revenue, said Brian
Wieser, a longtime ad industry analyst, in a March report.
Media companies are also tying up with tech giants to sell
more ads. During a presentation to advertisers last month,
Google announced that brands would be able to buy ad space with
media companies like Paramount and Warner Bros Discovery ( WBD ) through
Google's automated tech tools, rather than working with
salespeople.
"I think we're going to hear more about programmatic ...
particularly as consumption shifts to the digital and streaming
ecosystem," said Samantha Rose, strategic investment lead at
Horizon Media, referring to the upfront presentations.
(Reporting by Dawn Chmielewski in Los Angeles, Sheila Dang in
Austin; Edited by Kenneth Li in New York)