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Credit Suisse takeover poses new risks for Swiss economy -
OECD
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Swiss economy should be able to absorb resulting job
losses
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OECD raises competition concerns in Swiss banking
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Swiss economic growth seen at 0.9% in 2024, 1.4% in 2025
ZURICH, March 14 (Reuters) - UBS's rescue
takeover of Credit Suisse a year ago has created "new risks and
challenges" for the Swiss economy, the Organisation for Economic
Cooperation and Development said on Thursday, the latest
international forum to raise concerns about the deal.
The acquisition may have safeguarded financial stability,
but also raises questions about UBS's domestic dominance and the
need for stronger financial regulation in future, the OECD said
in its economic review of Switzerland.
The biggest bank merger since the global financial crisis,
orchestrated by the Swiss state to avert Credit Suisse's
collapse, created a group whose assets dwarf the economic output
of the country.
"The state-facilitated acquisition of Credit Suisse by UBS
... effectively stabilised the growing crisis within Credit
Suisse and tamed risks of spill-overs, thus safeguarding
financial stability, but it raises new risks and challenges,"
the OECD said.
"UBS - already a global systemically important bank before
the merger - has thus become even larger and according to the
'too big to fail' (TBTF) regulations, it must meet even stricter
regulatory requirements," it added.
The Financial Stability Board, a grouping of central
bankers, treasury officials and regulators from the group of 20
top global economies, last month highlighted the risk a failure
of UBS would pose to Switzerland and urged Bern to strengthen
its controls on banks.
The Swiss government is due to make proposals in the next
few months on how to toughen up regulations covering big banks,
including increasing the powers of the primary supervisor,
FINMA, which has demanded better tools.
The OECD raised questions around competition, with the new
combined bank having a roughly 25% share of domestic deposits
and loans, according to data from the Swiss National Bank.
Switzerland's competition commission favours a deeper
investigation into UBS's dominance of certain parts of the
market, Reuters reported last month.
UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti has dismissed critics' warning about
the lender's size, saying it was low risk, as well as stronger
and more diversified after the acquisition of Credit Suisse.
In its report, the OECD also highlighted how efforts by
investors seeking compensation for 16 billion francs of Credit
Suisse's Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bonds that were written off
could lead to "costly litigation and uncertain outcomes."
In its economic forecasts for Switzerland, the OECD
predicted the economy would grow 0.9% in 2024 and 1.4% in 2025,
below the country's long term average growth rate of 1.8%, and
the government's December forecasts of 1.1% and 1.7%,
respectively.
"Weak foreign demand, tighter financing conditions and
heightened uncertainty weigh on the economy," the OECD report
said.
Still, the buoyant Swiss labour market should be able to
absorb the "sizeable" jobs losses the bank merger will bring,
the Paris-based organisation said.
The ultra expensive Swiss housing market had shown signs of
cooling down, it also said, but vulnerabilities remained - with
properties estimated to be overvalued by up to 40%.