*
Poland ranks alongside Italy, Germany in terms of M&A
benefits
*
Plans Poland re-entry in Q4, hiring investment bankers
there
*
Focused on expanding market share organically in Italy
*
Can sit on Commerzbank stake, no pressure to do anything
(Adds details on growth plans in Poland in paragraphs 8-9)
By Valentina Za
MILAN, Sept 17 (Reuters) - UniCredit CEO
Andrea Orcel on Wednesday named Poland, alongside Italy and
Germany, as the countries where a merger or acquisition could
most benefit the bank.
Since joining UniCredit in 2021 after a three-decade
investment banking focused on bank M&A, Orcel has said the
Milanese lender would consider deals across its 13 markets.
UniCredit's bid for Italy's Banco BPM fell through earlier
this year, while Germany is opposed to a deal with Commerzbank,
in which UniCredit holds a 26% equity stake plus 3% in
derivatives. The derivatives are set to convert by year-end,
bringing UniCredit's holding to 29%.
UniCredit also owns 26% of Greece's Alpha Bank, partly
through derivatives, with regulatory clearance to increase that
up to 29.9% expected in the fourth quarter.
MARKETS OFFERING M&A BENEFITS
Orcel told investors at a BofA Securities conference that
Italy, Germany and Poland were the markets where M&A "would make
very material change to our equity story ... a quantum
difference in what we are and what is our profitability."
Italy and Germany are UniCredit's largest markets.
"Poland is the trickiest, because by not being there and
going organic, we don't have synergies, or we have more limited
synergies than an in-market deal," he added.
Banks can more easily cut costs when buying another lender
in a country where they are already present. Commerzbank owns
Poland's MBank ( MBAKF ). UniCredit exited the country when it sold Bank
Pekao in 2016-2019.
Orcel said in August UniCredit planned a re-entry in the
fourth quarter, after buying local banking technology services
provider Vodeno and Belgian digital bank Aion, which operates in
Poland.
UniCredit is also hiring investment bankers in Poland,
including a former Santander team, the local press has reported.
INCOME BOOST FROM EQUITY STAKES
Following the collapse of the Banco BPM deal, UniCredit will
expand its domestic market share without M&A. It can sit on its
Commerzbank stake, having capped any potential loss and locked
in a 20% return on the investment.
"We're just waiting ... if things go well, we can't be
happier," Orcel said. "We can just sit there, we're no longer
hostage of the market," he said in reference to the Commerzbank
stake.
Orcel said various equity stakes UniCredit had acquired in
recent months, plus the full ownership of its life insurance
business, cost up to 6.75-7.5 billion euros of capital it holds
above its targeted threshold.
But he said the net income boost from the stakes, and
another accounting benefit related to its insurance business,
increased the excess capital to 10-11.5 billion euros, meaning
up to 4.5 billion could be used to improve an ordinary
cash-and-share payout of 80%.
The bank will decide between 2028 and 2030 how to use the
excess capital, or return it to shareholders.
($1 = 0.8445 euros)
(Reporting by Valentina Za; Editing by Cristina Carlevaro, Jane
Merriman and Emelia Sithole-Matarise)