CHICAGO, Jan 22 (Reuters) - A reduction in airline seats
in the domestic market that is fueling U.S. airline earnings is
here to stay, United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby said on
Wednesday.
A sharp pullback in flying by U.S. carriers since summer has
driven up ticket prices, helping them mitigate rising costs and
shoring up the industry's outlook.
Those conditions helped United smash Wall Street estimates
in the fourth quarter and forecast stronger profit in the
current quarter. Two weeks ago, rival Delta Air Lines ( DAL )
also offered an upbeat outlook, calling the industry's restraint
in adding seats a "constructive" backdrop.
Kirby said high operating costs at airports in New York,
Chicago, Los Angeles and San Francisco have priced out low-cost
airlines, making them focus on markets where they have a
competitive advantage and putting a lid on unprofitable flying.
"It really is a transformed industry," he told analysts on
an earnings call.
Annual domestic seat growth this year is estimated to be the
slowest in at least a decade. Tight supply and strong travel
demand led to the fastest pace of airfare increases in 21 months
in December.
Carriers' discipline in adding seats has turned analysts and
investors sanguine about the industry.
The NYSE Arca Airline index has gained 36% in the
past six months, outpacing a 9% jump in the S&P 500 index
. United's stock has surged 126% during the same period.
Analysts liken the trend to the run U.S. airlines had from
2012 to 2014, when low growth propelled their operating margins
to over 11% in 2014 from under 6% in 2012, sparking a 300% rally
in airline stocks.
A shortage of aircraft due to production and engine delays
has also put a cap on the industry's growth plans. Kirby said
the availability of wide-body jets has become a greater
challenge and is expected to last at least through the end of
this decade.
"The international environment ... is going to be far
stronger for longer," he said.