March 20 (Reuters) - United Airlines said on
Friday it would cut its scheduled flights by 5% in the second
and third quarters, planning for prolonged higher oil prices
after the Iran war sent jet fuel costs soaring, even as strong
travel demand helps U.S. carriers raise fares and cushion the
hit.
Chief Executive Scott Kirby said in a staff memo the airline
is preparing for oil to rise as high as $175 a barrel and stay
above $100 until the end of 2027. United's annual fuel bill
would rise by about $11 billion, more than twice the profit in
its best year, if prices stay at those levels, Kirby said.
The war in Iran has pushed airlines into a new phase of fuel
shock. Jet fuel prices have nearly doubled since late February,
raising costs across the industry and disrupting global flying
patterns through reroutings and airspace restrictions.
While big U.S. airlines say strong demand is giving them
room to raise fares, the cuts are expected to hold up the
industry's pricing power.
"There's no point in burning cash in the near term on flying
that just can't absorb these fuel costs," Kirby said.
Kirby had said on Tuesday the airline would rather leave
some demand unmet than fly routes that lose money if fuel costs
stay high.
The Chicago-based carrier had already trimmed weaker
flights, such as some midweek, Saturday and overnight services.
In the staff memo, Kirby said United would cancel about
three percentage points of off-peak flying in the second and
third quarters, including red-eye and weaker midweek flights.
It will also pull about one point of capacity at Chicago
O'Hare and keep service to Tel Aviv and Dubai suspended,
bringing the total reduction to about five percentage points of
this year's planned capacity.
Kirby said the airline plans to restore the full schedule
this fall.
The capacity cuts come even as demand remains unusually
strong. Kirby said the airline's 10 biggest booked revenue weeks
have all occurred in the past 10 weeks, a trend echoed by other
large U.S. carriers that have reported strong spring bookings.
Airlines including Delta and American have
said strong demand has allowed them to push through fare
increases to recover part of the recent surge in fuel prices.
But Kirby said United would still trim flying that risks
losing money at current fuel levels.