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United to cut 5% of flights, planning for $175 oil from Iran war
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United to cut 5% of flights, planning for $175 oil from Iran war
Mar 20, 2026 6:25 PM

March 20 (Reuters) - United Airlines said on

Friday it would cut its scheduled flights by 5% in the second

and third quarters, planning for prolonged higher oil prices

after the Iran war sent jet fuel costs soaring, even as strong

travel demand helps U.S. carriers raise fares and cushion the

hit.

Chief Executive Scott Kirby said in a staff memo the airline

is preparing for oil to rise as high as $175 a barrel and stay

above $100 until the end of 2027. United's annual fuel bill

would rise by about $11 billion, more than twice the profit in

its best year, if prices stay at those levels, Kirby said.

The war in Iran has pushed airlines into a new phase of fuel

shock. Jet fuel prices have nearly doubled since late February,

raising costs across the industry and disrupting global flying

patterns through reroutings and airspace restrictions.

While big U.S. airlines say strong demand is giving them

room to raise fares, the cuts are expected to hold up the

industry's pricing power.

"There's no point in burning cash in the near term on flying

that just can't absorb these fuel costs," Kirby said.

Kirby had said on Tuesday the airline would rather leave

some demand unmet than fly routes that lose money if fuel costs

stay high.

The Chicago-based carrier had already trimmed weaker

flights, such as some midweek, Saturday and overnight services.

In the staff memo, Kirby said United would cancel about

three percentage points of off-peak flying in the second and

third quarters, including red-eye and weaker midweek flights.

It will also pull about one point of capacity at Chicago

O'Hare and keep service to Tel Aviv and Dubai suspended,

bringing the total reduction to about five percentage points of

this year's planned capacity.

Kirby said the airline plans to restore the full schedule

this fall.

The capacity cuts come even as demand remains unusually

strong. Kirby said the airline's 10 biggest booked revenue weeks

have all occurred in the past 10 weeks, a trend echoed by other

large U.S. carriers that have reported strong spring bookings.

Airlines including Delta and American have

said strong demand has allowed them to push through fare

increases to recover part of the recent surge in fuel prices.

But Kirby said United would still trim flying that risks

losing money at current fuel levels.

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