*
Midland/Houston oil price difference widens to as much as
74
cents/bbl, vs 22 cents on average in 2023
*
Permian-to-Corpus Christi pipelines about 97% full
*
Permian-to-Houston lines at about 73% of capacity
*
Wide spread to remain until more pipe capacity comes
online
By Arathy Somasekhar
HOUSTON, Nov 4 (Reuters) -
The difference in prices for U.S. shale oil in West Texas
and at Houston has widened in the last two months on dwindling
pipeline space to move the crude to the export hub on the Gulf
Coast, pricing data showed.
Record crude production
at the top U.S. oilfield in the Permian basin that
straddles Texas and New Mexico, combined with export demand for
its light sweet crude due to a shortfall of the grade from
OPEC member Libya
has about tripled the price difference from last year's
average.
Permian-quality crude arriving by pipeline to the Magellan
East Houston (MEH) terminal, the main price assessment point
along the Gulf Coast, traded last month about 63 cents a barrel
higher than prices for the same crude in the Midland center of
U.S. shale production, data from pricing service Argus showed.
The difference was as high as 74 cents a barrel in
September, compared with an average of 22 cents last year. In
May, it had briefly widened to around 80 cents due to
maintenance on a pipeline from the Permian basin to the Gulf
Coast.
"The pipelines to Corpus Christi (from West Texas) are
pretty much full, and the pipelines to Houston are filling up
very quickly," said Brian Freed, CEO of oil pipeline and storage
operator EPIC Midstream.
"You will continue to see it" widen, he predicted.
Lines from the Permian in West Texas to the top U.S. export
port in Corpus Christi, Texas, were about 97% full in September,
while lines to Houston were at 73% of capacity, according to
data from consultancy Wood Mackenzie.
Those figures were up from the average in 2023 - 91% on the
Permian-to-Corpus lines and 63% on Permian-to-Houston lines.
Rising Texas shale oil production this year has consumed
more of the limited pipeline space along the Permian-to-Houston
corridor, said Dylan White, a Wood Mackenzie analyst.
Oil can still get to overseas markets by detouring to the
Cushing, Oklahoma, storage hub, and moving from there to the
Gulf Coast. But most oil producers would prefer to go directly
to seacoast hubs as it is more economical.
"The market is starting to get nervous with Corpus Christi
pipelines full. And Houston really is the only available spare
capacity to push Midland quality (crude) to waterborne markets,"
said Jeremy Irwin, a senior oil markets analyst at Energy
Aspects.
A temporary curtailment of oil exports at major Libyan ports
in September had buoyed demand for U.S. crude, helping to widen
the spread. Light, sweet Midland crude has been a top choice as
a Libyan crude substitute, traders said, but the curtailment has
since eased.
The constraints may ease next year. Pipeline operator
Enbridge ( ENB ) plans to add 120,000 barrels per day capacity
by 2026, with about 80,000 bpd expected to become available in
April. An oil pipeline that was converted last year to carry
gas-liquids is expected to revert to crude oil transportation in
2025.
In the meantime, Permian oil output is forecast to rise by
360,000 bpd this year to about 6.27 million bpd, according to
U.S. government forecast. Top U.S. oil producers Exxon Mobil ( XOM )
and Chevron ( CVX ) on Friday sketched out plans to
boost their shale output next year, adding to future pipeline
needs.