financetom
Business
financetom
/
Business
/
US losing out on China soybean sales as Brazil fills key supply period
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US losing out on China soybean sales as Brazil fills key supply period
Aug 13, 2025 12:39 AM

SINGAPORE/BEIJING (Reuters) -U.S. soybean exporters risk missing out on billions of dollars worth of sales to China this year as trade talks drag on and buyers in the top oilseed importer lock in cargoes from Brazil for shipment during the key U.S. marketing season, according to traders.

Chinese importers have finished booking soybean cargoes for September, taking around 8 million metric tons, all from South America, three traders told Reuters.

For October, Chinese buyers have secured about 4 million tons - half of their expected requirement - also from South America, the traders said.

"China's heavy Q3 soybean purchases suggest the industry has built up inventories ahead of potential Q4 supply risks," said Wang Wenshen, an analyst at Sublime China Information.

Last year, Chinese oilseed importers bought around 7 million tons from the U.S. for shipments during the two months.

The risk of a prolonged absence of Chinese purchases for the U.S. crop year starting in September amid unresolved trade tensions could add pressure on Chicago futures trading not far from five-year lows, traders said.

Typically, most Chinese purchases of U.S. soybeans are shipped between September and January, before Brazilian supplies take over after South America's harvest.

Chinese buyers are expected to complete this year's October bookings by early next month, said a trader at an international firm in Singapore.

China has been cutting its dependence on U.S. agricultural products since the trade war under President Donald Trump's first term.

Last year, China imported roughly 105 million metric tons of soybeans. Of that, 22.13 million tons came from the U.S., worth $12 billion.

TRADE TENSIONS CLOUD OUTLOOK

On Sunday, Trump urged China to quadruple its soybean purchases ahead of a tariff truce deadline, a target that analysts said was unfeasible as it would require China to buy almost exclusively from the U.S.

The next day, the two sides extended their tariff truce by 90 days.

However, three traders told Reuters the extension by itself was unlikely to spur purchases, as Beijing's tariff on U.S. soybean imports remains at 23% - making them uncompetitive.

China could resume buying U.S. soybeans if an agreement to reduce duties is reached.

"One possible scenario is that if both sides reach a deal in November, China could resume buying U.S. soybeans, potentially extending the U.S. export window and putting pressure on Brazil's new-crop sales," said Johnny Xiang, founder of Beijing-based AgRadar Consulting.

Excluding tariffs, U.S. soybeans for October shipment are around $40 per ton cheaper than Brazilian cargoes being bought by China, two traders said.

China has plentiful soybeans on hand after stepping up imports with purchases hitting record highs in recent months.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Maiden, Kestrel Finalize Merger
Maiden, Kestrel Finalize Merger
May 27, 2025
10:49 AM EDT, 05/27/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Maiden (MHLD) and Kestrel Group said Tuesday they have completed their business combination and that Maiden shares will stop trading on Nasdaq at the close of market. The combined company will operate as Kestrel Group and its shares will begin trading on the exchange on Wednesday under the KG ticker. Shares of Maiden...
Graham's Barber-Nichols Gets $136.5 Million Contract for US Navy's Submarine Program; Shares Rise
Graham's Barber-Nichols Gets $136.5 Million Contract for US Navy's Submarine Program; Shares Rise
May 27, 2025
10:51 AM EDT, 05/27/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Graham (GHM) said Tuesday its subsidiary Barber-Nichols has been awarded a $136.5 million follow-on contract to back the US Navy's Virginia class submarine program. The period of performance will run from April 2025 through February 2034, the company said. Graham shares were rising past 7% in recent trading. Price: 39.62, Change: +2.83, Percent...
Organon, Samsung Bioepis Say FDA Grants Interchangeability Designation to Hadlima
Organon, Samsung Bioepis Say FDA Grants Interchangeability Designation to Hadlima
May 27, 2025
10:51 AM EDT, 05/27/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Organon (OGN) and Samsung Bioepis said Tuesday that the US Food and Drug Administration has designated Hadlima high and low concentration autoinjectors and high-concentration prefilled syringe as interchangeable biosimilars to AbbVie's ( ABBV ) Humira. The FDA previously granted interchangeability designation to Hadlima low-concentration prefilled syringe and single-dose vial in June 2024, the...
Google agrees $36 million fine for anti-competitive deals with Australia telcos
Google agrees $36 million fine for anti-competitive deals with Australia telcos
Aug 17, 2025
SYDNEY, Aug 18 (Reuters) - Google agreed on Monday to pay a A$55 million ($35.8 million) fine in Australia after the consumer watchdog found it had hurt competition by paying the country's two largest telcos to pre-install its search application on Android phones, excluding rival search engines. The fine extends a bumpy period for the Alphabet-owned internet giant in Australia,...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved