*
Property and casualty insurance stocks slump on Hurricane
Milton-related fears
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Another catastrophe adds to insurers' Florida woes
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Analysts say the full extent of hurricane season damage
still
unknown
(Adds details on hurricane season in paragraphs 15-17; Updates
prices throughout)
By Manya Saini
Oct 7 (Reuters) - U.S. property and casualty insurance
stocks tanked on Monday after Hurricane Milton intensified into
a category 4 storm on its path towards Florida's western coast,
marking yet another costly disaster for the industry to cover
this year.
Insurers are expected to face catastrophe-related claims for
billions of dollars from a devastating hurricane season.
Catastrophe losses refer to a significant financial hit that
insurance companies incur due to large-scale natural or man-made
disasters.
These events have intensified over the past few years and
have significantly hurt profits due to substantial payouts tied
to widespread property damage, business interruptions and
liability claims.
The U.S. has grappled with multiple major hurricanes in
2024, including Hurricane Debby striking Florida in August,
Hurricane Francine which made landfall in Louisiana in
September, and more recently Hurricane Helene that hit Florida
in the same month.
The S&P Insurance Select Industry index was last
down 2.7% on Monday.
MOUNTING LOSSES
Severe and frequent natural disasters have exacerbated the
industry's retreat from high-risk areas, particularly Florida.
The costs of reinsurance have also risen sharply in the state,
making it more expensive for insurers to operate.
"Investors are not only thinking about the short-term hit to
earnings but also the long-term affect weather change and a
seasonal uptick in damage will do to the business," said Michael
Ashley Schulman, partner and CIO at Running Point Capital
Advisors.
"Their credit ratings have been largely unaffected in the
short term; however, if extreme weather drives people away,
their long-term revenue models may be affected," Schulman said.
On Monday, Florida was preparing for the largest evacuation
since 2017 as Milton intensified in the Gulf of Mexico on its
path toward its western coast, coming on the heels of the
devastating Hurricane Helene. It had the potential to affect
areas already wrecked by Helene.
Heritage Insurance ( HRTG ), which has a big footprint in
the state, was last down 26%. Universal Insurance ( UVE ) and
HCI Group ( HCI ) fell 15% and 16%, respectively.
Sector bellwether Travelers Companies ( TRV ) was last down
3.5%, while Allstate ( ALL ) and Assurant ( AIZ ) declined 4%
each.
Insurance broker Aon said in a report late on Sunday there
was an increasing risk of life-threatening storm surge and
damaging winds for portions of the west coast of the Florida
Peninsula beginning Tuesday night or early Wednesday.
The U.S. hurricane season is expected to end on Nov. 30.
Forecasts have pointed to an above-normal activity this year due
to unusually warm sea surface temperatures in the tropical
Atlantic, coupled with La Nina weather patterns.
"The insurance industry must be prepared for the possibility
of a challenging second half of the year," broker Gallagher Re
said in a July report.
"These conditions, in tandem with the influence of climate
change, have aided in more unpredictable and extreme events in
2024."