July 19 (Reuters) - U.S. banks have boosted their
provisions for credit losses as deteriorating commercial real
estate (CRE) loans and high interest rates fuel fears of
defaults, the regional lenders' second-quarter results show.
Some, such as M&T Bank ( MTB ), are also gradually reducing
their exposure to the troubled CRE sector and repositioning
their balance sheets to focus on commercial and industrial
lending and build capital.
Office loans have been hit the hardest over the past 12
months as buildings remain vacant due to the post-pandemic
adoption of remote working models.
The shift has hurt landlords who have been unable to pay
back mortgages, while options to refinance the properties have
been constrained by higher rates.
BankUnited ( BKU ), which according to data from S&P Market
Intelligence, had one of the largest CRE exposures by loan
volume, revealed office loans accounted for 30% of its total CRE
loan book.
Office portfolio allowance for credit losses climbed to
2.47% at the bank as of June 30, compared to 2.26% at the end of
the first quarter, and just 1.18% at the close of 2023.
Meanwhile, multi-family commercial loan portfolios - most of
which are made by smaller U.S. lenders - have also shown signs
of strain in major markets such as New York and Florida due to
rent control regulations.
"As is common industry practice after a time of extended
elevated interest rates, some cracks are beginning to show,"
said Jeff Holzmann, COO at RREAF Holdings, a real estate
investment firm with over $5 billion in assets under management.
"The reason for the delayed response is the fact that
lenders demand interest reserves that can run out after some
time. But as time goes by, reserves are depleted and options run
out resulting in lenders having to write down, or write off some
loans or positions,"
At KeyCorp ( KEY ), net-charge offs to average loans for CRE
rose to 0.21% in the second quarter, from 0.14% in the previous
quarter. Non-performing office loans at the bank increased to
5.5% from 5.2% over the same period.
Bank OZK ( OZK ) raised its total allowance for credit
losses to $574.1 million in the second quarter, compared with
$426.8 million in the year-ago period. Net charge-offs, or debt
unlikely to be recovered, rose to $11.8 million from $8.7
million over the same period.
"It's imperative that banks have rigorously scrutinized
their CRE portfolios, clearly communicated the specific areas of
exposure and their multi-scenario strategies for mitigating
these risk," said Blake Coules, CRE industry practice lead,
Moody's.
"Detailed analyses should go beyond broad asset classes or
geographic locations - such generalities may suggest a bank
hasn't fully risen to the challenge," he added.
NO PANIC SELLING
Earnings reports so far this week show lenders are not
aggressively selling down their CRE loans and are allowing them
to run off the balance sheet naturally instead.
Some had expected regional banks to dump their toxic assets
in distress sales, triggered by the panic sparked by New York
Community Bancorp's ( NYCB/PA ) troubles earlier this year.
"I think loan sales are possible. But flooding the market
with supply is not necessarily what's going to happen," said KBW
analyst Chris McGratty.
Banks might also wait for the Federal Reserve to cut
interest rates, widely expected later this year, before putting
their loan books up for sale. The cuts could help them fetch
higher prices for those assets.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that CRE
risks will be with banks for years, and regulators were in touch
with smaller banks to ensure they are able to manage them.
"The sky is not falling when it comes to CRE loans,"
Washington Federal CEO Brent Beardall said in a
statement last month, when the bank sold $2.8 billion
multi-family loans without incurring a loss.
Regions Financial ( RF ) also said it expects stress in
multi-family portfolios to be temporary in nature. Fifth Third
said it was not pursuing new office CRE originations.
Meanwhile, NYCB and smaller rival First Foundation ( FFWM )
will likely see heightened investor scrutiny of their loan books
when they report second-quarter results next week, after turmoil
tied to CRE exposures this year.
"I think that will be very telling, especially for some of
the banks that have exposure to rent stabilized multi-family and
the performance issues we've seen there," said Stephen Buschbom,
research director at data provider Trepp.