NEW YORK, Oct 17 (Reuters) - U.S. regional banks are
showing increasing signs of stress even after they stockpiled
more money to absorb credit losses and sought out more stable
deposits since the 2023 banking crisis, according to a
Morningstar DBRS report published on Friday.
Banks are likely to see more delinquencies and loan losses in
the coming quarters as they come under pressure from inflation,
geopolitical concerns and losses from loans to lower income
consumers, Morningstar DBRS' financial institutions credit risk
officer Michael Driscoll wrote in the report.
Banks have tapped the U.S. Federal Reserve's Standing Repo
Facility for over $15 billion since Wednesday, a sign of funding
stress, Driscoll said. Still, most regional lenders have set
aside enough reserves to absorb loan losses, he added.
"We were expecting higher losses than what we have seen at
this point of the credit cycle - the market seems to be
overreacting," Driscoll said in an interview with Reuters.
Since the failures of Silicon Valley, Signature Bank, and
First Republic in 2023, banks have worked to increase stability
in their funding, including adding more deposits that are
insured by the U.S. government.
Morningstar ( MORN ) notes Zions Bancorporation, shares of
which dropped 14% on Thursday, has 56% of its deposit base
insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, according
to the bank's filings. Zions' shares recovered on Friday morning
and were up 3%.
While many banks have bolstered their balance sheets, shaken
confidence from investors and customers can lead to rapid
deposit outflows that exacerbate other problems.
U.S. bank stocks rebounded on Friday after strong earnings
buoyed the sector. The credit worries rippled through global
markets earlier, dragging down financial stocks in Europe and
Asia.
Fifth Third CEO Tim Spence said pressure on regional banks'
shares this week is very different from the 2023 confidence
crisis.
"I would not equate the two situations. At that time, there
were concerns about liquidity and funding mismatch, with short
term deposits funding long term loans. Now, I think investors
initially reacted to losses they did not understand well, but as
more information was released over the last 24 hours you start
to see shares recovering," he said.