*
Deregulation, lower taxes, softer antitrust stance
expected
*
Some bankers told to get the ball rolling on deals
*
Trade tariffs, national debt and potential for chaotic
policy
are concerns
By Milana Vinn, Echo Wang and Nupur Anand
NEW YORK, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Wall Street executives by
and large are looking forward to business-friendly regulations
as they analyze the implications of a second Donald Trump
presidency, while some bankers were immediately tasked with
discussing potential deals.
Trump's return to power is likely to significantly ease some
of the regulatory pressures industries have seen under the Biden
administration, executives across banks and private equity said.
Smaller government, broad deregulation as well as tax breaks
for corporations and the wealthy are widely expected. In
particular, a softer stance on antitrust and less regulation in
areas such as banking and cryptocurrencies could boost corporate
profits and spur deal flow, they said.
"He is pro-business and anti-regulation," said Euan Rellie,
co-founder and managing partner of investment bank BDA Partners.
"His instincts are to cut taxes. All of that will help the M&A
market."
"So long as he governs with moderation and not with chaos,
the markets will welcome him," said Rellie.
That, some of the executives said, however, was not a given,
and tempered the optimism.
Some bankers worried about how to navigate unpredictable
shifts in government policy, the impact of trade tariffs, a
potentially perilous fiscal path that adds trillions of dollars
to the national debt as well as about the potential tightening
of visa programmes.
For now, though, the reaction was euphoric. As U.S. stocks
rallied sharply, one equity capital markets banker who declined
to be named said his colleagues had got fresh mandates Wednesday
morning as well as an opportunity to pitch for an initial public
offering. The message was, "let's get the ball rolling," the
banker said.
An investment banker who works at a global firm in New
York also said that his firm had an internal call to discuss
deals, including possibly revisiting some transactions that may
have not passed regulatory scrutiny under Lina Khan's Federal
Trade Commission in the Biden administration.
MORE BUSINESS
A more lenient approach to antitrust issues could boost
dealmaking in many sectors. Two sources with knowledge of the
media industry said the sector was in for a period of
consolidation over the next two years.
Greg Hertrich, head of U.S. depository strategies at Nomura,
said the banking industry could see more mergers, too. "The
current number of 4,700 banks in the U.S. may be reduced to
around 2,500 faster," he said.
Large financial deals will have more chance of being
greenlighted. Shares of payments firms Capital One and
Discover Financial Services ( DFS ), awaiting approval of a
$35.3 billion deal, surged.
"It is expected that the Trump administration will be more
open to sensible M&As than many believe has been the case under
the Biden administration," said Gene Ludwig, a former top bank
regulator who now advises financial institutions as CEO of
Ludwig Advisors.
For banks, one of the biggest questions now is how stringent
new Basel capital standards are going to be.
Ed Mills, an analyst at Raymond James, said the turnover of
regulators as the new administration comes in will "stall the
bank regulatory super cycle that has existed over the last
couple of years."
"We are unlikely to see any major bank regulation come out
and all of this paints a very favorable picture for the banks,"
said Mills.
MANY WORRIES
Not everyone was celebrating, however. A lawyer who works
with renewable energy companies said he'd been on the phone with
despondent clients all day. They were all trying to reach local
Republican politicians in districts where they have planned
projects, seeking assurances that tax credits and incentives
under Biden's push for green energy would continue.
At one Wall Street firm, a meeting included conversation
about the risk of deficits rising under a Trump administration,
one source said. One estimate sees his policies adding $7.5
trillion to deficits over 10 years.
The hope among the participants was Trump's aides would
encourage him not to go to extremes with tariffs and tax cuts,
said the source.
Other concerns hit more on a personal level, such as
safeguarding non-U.S. staff. In Trump's first term, he took
steps to tighten access to some visa programs, including a
suspension of many work visas during the COVID pandemic.
A private equity investor in New York said one issue that
came up on Wednesday was questions from international employees
on H-1B visas about whether they would face difficulties
renewing their visas and how their employer could support them.