WELLINGTON/SYDNEY, July 15 (Reuters) - The World Bank is
preparing a financial lifeline for Pacific Island nations,
backed by the U.S. and Australia, as an exodus of Western banks
from the unprofitable market prompts concern that China could
fill the vacuum in the strategic region.
Without a backstop, many of the 18 small countries and
territories of the Pacific Islands Forum, spanning 30 million
square km (10 million square miles) of ocean, risk being cut off
from global finance as Western banks leave the less-developed
region, a situation an Australian official involved in the plan
called "Armageddon".
The $77 million proposal would initially enable emergency
access to dollars or other major currencies that the far-flung
island nations would need for trade and remittances if Western
banks cut ties, the World Bank said in an email.
The region, which Washington has long considered its
maritime neighbourhood, is caught in a superpower battle for
influence as China makes steady advances.
Nauru, Solomon Islands and Kiribati switched diplomatic
recognition from Taiwan to Beijing in recent years, and the
Solomon Islands has struck security and policing pacts with
China that sparked alarm in the U.S. and Australia.
Banking curbs after the 2008 financial crisis have made
Western lenders cautious about ties to the Pacific, where banks
and regulators often lack the resources to find and prosecute
financial crimes, raising the risk that banks get embroiled in
embarrassing and expensive scandals.
There is also little prospect of profit from the region's
tiny, remote populations to entice banks to bear the cost of
helping raise compliance standards.
CHINESE INTEREST AS WESTERN BANKS EXIT
"The proposed World Bank project is a creative way of
addressing the challenge of de-risking and small scale in
Pacific Island countries," said Lalita Moorty, the World Bank's
East Asia and Pacific director for prosperity.
Without access to overseas banks, Pacific countries would
struggle to receive remittances - a key component of their
economies - welcome holidaymakers or trade with the wider world.
Already as competition wanes, the cost of remittances has
increased to some of the highest globally.
"It can create instability for the financial system," said
Denton Rarawa, senior economics adviser at the Pacific Islands
Forum.
Between 2011 and 2022, the region lost 60% of its
correspondent banking relationships, where Western banks partner
with local ones to enable transactions in international
currencies.
ANZ Bank has sold assets in Papua New Guinea, Westpac tried
to sell its Pacific business and Nauru's only lender,
Australia's Bendigo Bank, announced plans to leave in 2025.
China may be seeking to fill that gap.
Bank of China has opened an office in Papua New Guinea and
signed a memorandum of understanding with Nauru to look at how
they could step in if Bendigo Bank leaves. Vanuatu last week
asked Bank of China to set up a branch.
Bank of China did not respond to a request for comment.
Chinese banks have in recent years expressed interest in the
Solomon Islands, Tonga and Samoa, the central bankers of those
countries told Reuters, although nothing has eventuated.
'LIGHT AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL'
"We're well aware of the geostrategic interest of our region
between U.S., China and Australia," said Cook Islands Prime
Minister Mark Brown, the current chair of the Pacific Islands
Forum.
"What we're saying is that if you're not going to address
concerns and issues we have, Pacific countries will start
looking elsewhere for support."
The U.S. and Australia were spurred to act against the
festering problem in the past two years by planned exits like
Bendigo's and concern that China could step in, said three
officials who asked not to be identified because they were not
authorised to speak to media.
A delegation of more than 20 U.S. Treasury and Federal
Reserve officials flew in for a conference in Brisbane last week
with Australian and Pacific Islands officials, opened by a video
message from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.
Under the plan, the World Bank will also study ways to make
the Pacific Islands more attractive to global banks, including a
mechanism to aggregate payments from various countries to help
achieve economies of scale, the World Bank said in a statement.
The Washington-based global lender's board is expected to
approve the plan within a few months. Commercial banks will bid
to run the facility, which can be used in an emergency to
process transactions in dollars and other currencies.
Countries will be charged to use the facility so it does not
undercut private providers. They will also need to meet
standards on financial crimes regulation.
The U.S. and Australian effort convinced at least some
conference attendees that after more than a decade of talk, a
solution is close.
"We can see the light at the end of the tunnel," Reserve
Bank of Fiji Governor Ariff Ali told Reuters. "I'm confident
we'll find a solution and I'm confident we're making progress."