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Here’s What Needs to Happen for ETH to Break its All
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Here’s What Needs to Happen for ETH to Break its All
Dec 16, 2024 7:12 AM

After facing rejection at the critical $4K resistance and retracing to the $3.5K support level, Ethereum witnessed a strong resurgence of buying pressure, triggering another impulsive rally.

The price has once again approached the $4K resistance, where a potential breakout could ignite a short-squeeze, driving Ethereum higher.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

Ethereum recently faced a rejection at the pivotal $4K resistance, triggering a decline to the critical $3.5K support level. This range has proven to be a key demand zone, attracting significant buying pressure. As a result, the market witnessed a strong rebound, driving the price back toward the $4K resistance.

Currently, buyers are striving to reclaim this psychological and structural barrier, setting the stage for a sustained rally toward the assets all-time high. If ETH breaks above the $4K resistance in the coming days, it could trigger a short-squeeze event, forcing short positions to unwind and propelling the price higher.

However, the $4K level also serves as a substantial supply zone, and failure to break through could lead to another rejection. In such a scenario, Ethereum is likely to continue consolidating within the $3.5K–$4K range in the short term as buyers and sellers compete for control.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour timeframe, Ethereum has been moving within an ascending price channel. Following a rejection at the channel’s upper boundary near the $4K level, the price retraced sharply, breaking below the channel’s middle boundary and testing the lower trendline around the $3.5K support zone.

This critical juncture sparked renewed buying activity, resulting in a bullish rebound that pushed ETH back toward the channel’s middle boundary at $4K. The $4K level now poses significant resistance, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary.

If buyers manage to break above this resistance and decisively sustain the momentum, Ethereum could embark on a fresh bullish rally, targeting its ATH. However, in the event of another rejection, the price may remain confined within the ascending channel, with the $3.5K support acting as a key cushion.

Onchain Analysis

By Shayan

The futures market plays a crucial role in driving price trends and volatility. Among its key indicators, funding rates offer valuable insights into market sentiment. As shown in the chart, the recent bullish rebound from the $3.5K support level was accompanied by a noticeable spike in funding rates, reflecting traders growing interest in taking long positions on Ethereum.

This surge in funding rates highlights the increasing buying pressure and prevailing bullish sentiment, with market participants anticipating further gains in the mid-term. If the upward trend in funding rates continues, a breakout above the $4K resistance will become increasingly likely.

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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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