financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Apollo Global chief economist expects no Fed cuts this year
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Apollo Global chief economist expects no Fed cuts this year
Jun 20, 2024 11:06 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates this year as easier financial conditions will offset the impact of borrowing costs by keeping inflation sticky and the economy resilient, the chief economist of Apollo Global Management said.

The U.S. central bank in December signaled an end to the historic tightening of U.S. monetary policy of the prior two years and that lower borrowing costs were coming, triggering a rebound in capital markets activity that boosted the economy and inflation.

"We do believe that easier financial conditions will continue to offset the effects of rate hikes at least for the next several quarters," Torsten Slok told a webinar on Thursday. "The scale is tilted towards the tailwind to growth now coming again from fiscal policy, easy financial conditions still being stronger."

Apollo is a global alternative asset manager with $671 billion in assets under management as of March.

Since the signalling in December, Fed officials have modified their projections on how aggressively they would cut rates this year, from three 25 basis point rate cuts to just one. As of Thursday, traders were betting on about two 25 basis point cuts this year, after data showing a slowdown in the economy and in price pressures in recent weeks.

Still, Slok said time was needed for high interest rates to cool the economy and inflation, as higher borrowing costs have yet to hit many U.S. consumers and companies who are instead benefiting from a booming stock market and higher returns in fixed income.

"We just did not see the transmission of monetary policy come through as quickly as many, including the Fed ... expected in 2023," he said.

"There are certainly good reasons to expect inflation to come down ... we are just not quite there yet, inflation is unfortunately still too elevated."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US Dollar Rises Early Monday, Focus on Home Sales Data, FOMC Minutes This Week
US Dollar Rises Early Monday, Focus on Home Sales Data, FOMC Minutes This Week
May 20, 2024
07:51 AM EDT, 05/20/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Monday as markets turn their attention to home sales data this week and the minutes of the April 30-May 1 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. There are no economic data releases scheduled for Monday, but Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr...
U.S. regulators reconsider capital hike for big banks, WSJ reports
U.S. regulators reconsider capital hike for big banks, WSJ reports
May 19, 2024
(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve and two other U.S. regulators are moving toward a new plan that would significantly reduce a nearly 20% mandated increase in capital for the country's biggest banks following lobbying efforts by industry CEOs like JPMorgan Chase's ( JPM ) Jamie Dimon, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday. Top officials from all three agencies involved...
5 Things Warren Buffett Says You Need To Do Before Recession Hits
5 Things Warren Buffett Says You Need To Do Before Recession Hits
May 19, 2024
Talks of an economic recession have been doing the rounds over the past few months, thanks in part to the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate action. But there are many ways to survive and thrive in a recession, too. Who better to take that advice from than the Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett? Here are the five things Buffett says you...
US Dollar Ebbs in Europe as Kiwi and Swedish Krona Underperform
US Dollar Ebbs in Europe as Kiwi and Swedish Krona Underperform
May 20, 2024
07:02 AM EDT, 05/20/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar was struggling for traction near the prior week's lows against many major currencies in early European trade on Monday as global markets looked ahead to a series of scheduled speeches from Federal Reserve officials. Most major currencies were little changed against the US dollar on Monday despite a favorable backdrop...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved