financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Big US banks say consumers are still strong, despite economy fears
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Big US banks say consumers are still strong, despite economy fears
Oct 11, 2024 10:02 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. consumers remain resilient with solid spending in the third quarter, two of the country's biggest lenders said on Friday, although there are signs higher inflation has stretched some Americans on lower incomes. 

Strong earnings from JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo and upbeat comments from their top executives should further ease investor worries that elevated borrowing costs were weighing on consumers and pushing the economy to the cusp of a downturn, even as JPMorgan hiked provisions for soured loans.

"Overall, we see the spending patterns as being sort of solid," said Jeremy Barnum, chief financial officer of JPMorgan, the country's largest lender and a bellwether for the U.S. economy, adding spending had normalized from a post-pandemic bounce when Americans splurged on travel and eating out.

Weakening job market data had sparked concerns that Federal Reserve rate hikes aimed at taming inflation may tip the United States into a recession or "hard landing." 

But speaking to analysts, Barnum said spending patterns were "consistent with the narrative that consumers are on solid footing and consistent with a strong labor market and the current central case of a kind of 'no-landing' scenario economically." 

Speaking to reporters, Wells Fargo chief financial officer Michael Santomassimo said spending on credit and debit cards, while down a little from earlier this year, was still "quite solid." 

The market will get a fuller picture when Bank of America and Citigroup, the country's other two major consumer banks, report next week and retail sales data is released. Several investors said Friday's earnings were so far a positive sign. 

"The fact that ... not only are we averting a hard landing, there might even be a chance that there's no landing, and that we're able to continue to push forward is definitely going to be a big windfall for banks," said Taylor Krystkowiak, vice president and investment strategist at Themes ETFs.

Still, Santomassimo warned that the cumulative impact of higher inflation was stretching lower-income consumers and the bank was watching to see if that pattern spread to higher income customers.  

Consumer sentiment also slipped in October amid lingering frustration over high prices, a University of Michigan survey showed on Friday.

"When you look at the overall average it looks good, but I think it's being skewed more by the higher income, higher net worth consumer," said Paul Nolte, senior wealth advisor and market strategist for Murphy & Sylvest in Elmhurst, Illinois.

"For those around the lower end, it's been a little bit tougher. We're seeing delinquencies and car loans pick up. We're seeing smaller deposits, more credit card balances," he added. 

Both banks set aside cash to cover potential soured loans. JPMorgan set aside $3.11 billion, a jump on the $1.38 billion it put aside a year ago. Wells Fargo, meanwhile, set aside $1.07 billion, down slightly from the $1.2 billion it provisioned this time last year.

More than decade-high credit card delinquencies had also stoked fears earlier this year that Americans were becoming over-stretched, but that picture improved in the second quarter, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said on Wednesday. 

Impaired borrowing between one month and longer horizons marked its biggest retreat in three years, although it would be premature to declare a turning point for credit performance, the Philadelphia Fed said. 

In a note on Thursday, analysts at Barclays said they expected to see "continued normalization of credit card loan losses, but at a slower pace than in previous months."

(Writing by Michelle Price; reporting by Niket Nishant, Nivedita Balu, Saqib Ahmed, Saeed Azhar and Tatiana Bautzer. Editing by Megan Davies and Nick Zieminski)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Goldman Sachs CEO says trading revenue is heading for a 10% slide in 3Q
Goldman Sachs CEO says trading revenue is heading for a 10% slide in 3Q
Sep 11, 2024
TORONTO (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs' ( GS ) trading revenue will probably slip 10% in the third quarter because of sluggish conditions last month, its CEO David Solomon said on Monday. Given a more challenging macro environment, particularly in the month of August, that business is trending down close to 10%, Solomon told investors at a financial conference in New...
Consumers' Three-Year Inflation Expectations Rebound, NY Fed Survey Shows
Consumers' Three-Year Inflation Expectations Rebound, NY Fed Survey Shows
Sep 11, 2024
01:47 PM EDT, 09/09/2024 (MT Newswires) -- US consumers' inflation expectations rebounded at the medium-term horizon in August, while the labor market outlook was mixed, but largely stable, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said Monday. Median one- and five-year inflation expectations were flat at 3% and 2.8%, respectively, last month, while the three-year outlook rose to 2.5% from...
Boeing labor deal angers many union workers ahead of vote, official says
Boeing labor deal angers many union workers ahead of vote, official says
Sep 11, 2024
Sept 9 (Reuters) - A tentative labor contract agreed between Boeing ( BA ) and one of its biggest unions has angered many workers who were hoping for higher wage hikes and better pensions, an official who negotiated the deal said on Monday. The International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAM), which represents more than 32,000 workers in the...
US wholesale July inventories revised slightly lower
US wholesale July inventories revised slightly lower
Sep 11, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. wholesale inventories increased less than initially thought in July amid a sharp rebound in sales, casting doubt on whether inventory investment would contribute to economic growth in the third quarter. The Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Monday that wholesale inventories rose 0.2%, revised down from the 0.3% gain estimated last month. Stocks at wholesalers were...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved