financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Bowman: Inflation risks to the upside, further rate cuts should be gradual, cautious
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Bowman: Inflation risks to the upside, further rate cuts should be gradual, cautious
Jan 31, 2025 5:54 AM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Federal Reserve governor Michelle Bowman said she still expects declining inflation to allow further interest rate cuts this year, but feels rising wages, buoyant financial markets, geopolitical risks, and upcoming administration policies could slow the process and keep price pressures elevated.

"Core inflation remains elevated, but my expectation is that it will moderate further this year. Even with this outlook, I continue to see upside risks to inflation," Bowman said in comments to a group of New England business executives.

"I would prefer that future adjustments to the policy rate be gradual. We should take time to carefully assess the progress in achieving our inflation and employment goals," said Bowman, who supported the Fed's decision this week to leave the benchmark overnight interest rate at the current range of 4.25% to 4.5%.

Bowman's comments were released just as new inflation data for December were to be published. Along with watching incoming official statistics, Bowman said the Fed's decision to hold rates steady for now would give policymakers time "to get clarity on the administration's policies and their effects on the economy. It will be very important to have a

better sense of the actual policies and how they will be implemented, in addition to greater confidence about how the economy will respond."

Those policies have already included deportation of immigrants, and it is expected to expand to include new import tariffs, which President Donald Trump has said he might announce as soon as this weekend.

Bowman, appointed to the Fed by Trump during his first term, has been among the more strict at the Fed about what may be needed to control inflation, and in her remarks laid out an extensive list of factors she feels may slow progress.

Trump has said he feels the Fed should lower rates.

Labor markets have eased, Bowman noted, but the economy remains near full employment with a pace of wage growth beyond what she feels is consistent with full employment. Global supply chains remain fragile to geopolitical shocks, she said, while buoyant U.S. markets and continued strong economic growth indicate Fed policy may not be all that restrictive.

"I continue to be concerned that easier financial conditions over the past year may have contributed to the lack of further progress on slowing inflation," Bowman said. "In light of the ongoing strength in the economy and with equity prices substantially higher than a year ago, it seems unlikely that the overall level of interest rates and borrowing costs are exerting meaningful restraint."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US jobless claims rise in latest week
US jobless claims rise in latest week
Aug 28, 2024
(Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits rose in the latest week, but the level still suggested a gradual cooling of the labor market remains intact. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 232,000 for the week ended Aug. 17, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters...
August Services Growth Exceeds Expectations As Manufacturing Slumps: Inflation Gradually Eases 'To Normal Levels'
August Services Growth Exceeds Expectations As Manufacturing Slumps: Inflation Gradually Eases 'To Normal Levels'
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. private sector activity likely expanded more than expected this month, driven by growth in the services sector that outweighed the deepening contraction in manufacturing, according to preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) surveys released by S&P Global on Thursday. The flash Composite PMI index slightly declined from 54.3 in July to 54.1 in August, yet it exceeded expectations of a...
Fed's Schmid signals open mind on September rate cut
Fed's Schmid signals open mind on September rate cut
Aug 28, 2024
(Reuters) - Kansas City Fed Bank President Jeff Schmid, one of the U.S. central bank's more hawkish policymakers, said on Thursday he was taking a closer look at the dynamics behind the rise in the unemployment rate and would let data guide him on whether to support a rate cut next month. We've got some data sets to come in...
US existing home sales rise more than expected in July
US existing home sales rise more than expected in July
Aug 29, 2024
(Reuters) - U.S. existing home sales rose more than expected in July, reversing four consecutive monthly declines, as improving supply and declining mortgage rates offered hope that activity could rebound in the months ahead. Home sales rose 1.3% last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.95 million units, the National Association of Realtors said on Thursday. Economists polled...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved