financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
China's Economy Poised To Overtake US By 2035, Says Top Chinese Economist Who Made The Bold Prediction 1994
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
China's Economy Poised To Overtake US By 2035, Says Top Chinese Economist Who Made The Bold Prediction 1994
Jan 14, 2025 6:21 AM

A prediction made 31 years ago by the Chinese economist Justin Lin Yifu which claimed that China’s economy will surpass that of the U.S., is about to materialize over the next five to 10 years, he said.

What Happened: Former chief economist and senior vice-president at World Bank, Lin Yifu’s 1994 prediction was reaffirmed by him while speaking at the Asian Financial Forum in Hong Kong on Monday, reported the South China Morning Post.

He believes that U.S. economic growth has decelerated along with the sluggish growth in China's annual gross domestic product.

According to him, if market exchange rates remain unchanged his prediction will come true in a few years.

This event took place on Monday just a few hours before Joe Biden‘s farewell speech on Monday.

Biden said, "When I took office, you all recall, and the experts believed … it was inevitable that China's economy would surpass ours. According to many predictions that would happen by the year 2030 or shortly thereafter."

"Now, according to the latest predictions, on China's current course, they will never surpass us,” he added.

However, Lin Yifu in his speech said that China's annual economic growth is still notably higher than that of the U.S.

See Also: Charlie Munger’s Defense Of Active Investing Resurfaces Amid ETF Boom: “Life Is More Than Passive Wealth Accumulation”

Why It Matters: In 1994, Lin Yifu penned his book ‘The China Miracle,’ where he had made this prediction. Back then, China’s economic growth was soaring, exceeding 13%. This peaked at 14.2% in 2007 before gradually decelerating. Since 2011 the growth dipped to 9.6% and the Chinese economy has consistently seen single-digit expansion.

During his speech Lin Yifu expressed unwavering confidence in China’s ability to significantly increase its per capita GDP, aiming to reach half of the United States’ level by 2049.

This ambitious goal, if achieved, would translate into China’s total GDP surpassing that of the U.S. by a factor of two, solidifying the nation’s position as a global economic powerhouse and moving it closer to its aspiration of becoming a stronger, more modernized country.

China's National Bureau of Statistics is set to release the country's 2024 GDP data on Friday. President Xi Jinping closed out the year by saying China was on track to hit its goal of "around 5%".

Read Next:

Meta Investors Push Mark Zuckerberg To Replace $72B Cash With Bitcoin To Combat Inflation: Here’s What It Means For Investors

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Backs July Rate Cut, Citing 'Contained' Inflation Pressure: 'Impact Of Tariffs...May Take Longer'
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Backs July Rate Cut, Citing 'Contained' Inflation Pressure: 'Impact Of Tariffs...May Take Longer'
Jun 24, 2025
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman has expressed her support for a potential interest rate cut in July, provided that inflation remains subdued. What Happened:  Bowman, during a speech in Prague, suggested that an interest rate cut at the upcoming July meeting would be appropriate if inflationary pressures remain low, reported CNBC on Monday. “Should inflation pressures remain contained, I would support lowering the policy rate as soon as our next...
Big US banks expected to ace stress tests, boost dividends
Big US banks expected to ace stress tests, boost dividends
Jun 24, 2025
NEW YORK (Reuters) -The biggest U.S. lenders are expected to clear the Federal Reserve's annual health check this year, showing they have ample capital that can be used to boost dividends, analysts said. The results of the central bank's so-called stress tests on Friday will determine how much cash lenders would need to hold to withstand a severe economic downturn....
Trump says US interest rates should be at least two to three points lower
Trump says US interest rates should be at least two to three points lower
Jun 23, 2025
(Reuters) -U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday said interest rates should be at least two to three points lower and the U.S. Federal Reserve could increase them later if things turned negative. We should be at least two to three points lower. If things later change to the negative, increase the Rate, he said in a post on Truth Social....
Powell is staying at the Fed, with Trump appointments possibly limited
Powell is staying at the Fed, with Trump appointments possibly limited
Jun 24, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell begins two days of congressional testimony on Tuesday under fire from President Donald Trump for not cutting interest rates but with his status as head of the central bank seemingly secured from any presidential action by a Supreme Court ruling last month. Trump has mused about firing Powell or naming a successor...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved