financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Chinese slowdown impact: Here's what experts have to say
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Chinese slowdown impact: Here's what experts have to say
Mar 8, 2019 10:18 AM

The Chinese Premier Li Keqiang, China's second most powerful man, next to Xi Jinping, this week warned his country's highest lawmaking body that the country will face a more complicated environment and grave risks and challenges.

Addressing the National People's Congress, he set the country's economic growth at 6 to 6.5 percent this year, just a shade lower than the 6.6 percent it achieved in 2018. He also promised lower taxes and fewer burdens on the private sector.

So, should the world read this warning as an indication of deeper troubles for the Chinese economy or should one be confident that China can deliver a 6 percent plus growth this year? And what does a slightly slowing China mean to the world economy?

To discuss this, CNBC-TV18's Latha Venkatesh, spoke to Kenneth Rogoff, professor of public policy and economics at Harvard University and Jahangir Aziz of JPMorgan.

Rogoff said, "I don't think 6 to 6.5 percent is a reliable number. I was laughing when you said the world wonders if China can deliver 6 to 6.5 percent number. They are going to deliver a 6 to 6.5 percent and it is just not clear if that is a real number. They haven't solved the business cycle, everybody has slowdowns, they are having one and I think it is a very significant one."

"The slowing down of the Chinese economy is part and parcel of rebalancing that this current administration is embarking on. So we aren't surprised that we are now looking at growth targets between 6-6.5 percent. We have somewhere right in the middle of 6.2. We differ, however, of the quarterly trajectory. We do think that in the first quarter you will still continue to see the slowdown and only from the second quarter of 2019, there will be a mild recovery from 5.9 to about 6.3 over the course of the year," Aziz said.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
16 Million Jobs At Risk In China As US Tariffs Hammer Manufacturing And Retail Sectors, Goldman Sachs Warns
16 Million Jobs At Risk In China As US Tariffs Hammer Manufacturing And Retail Sectors, Goldman Sachs Warns
May 25, 2025
Analysts from Goldman Sachs have warned that the U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports could put up to 16 million jobs in China at risk, particularly in the manufacturing sector. What Happened: The bank stated that persistently high U.S.-China tariffs and a significant drop in Chinese exports could put pressure on labor markets. The jobs under threat are primarily involved in the production of exports to...
U.S. tariffs will cause demand shock to Singapore economy: MAS
U.S. tariffs will cause demand shock to Singapore economy: MAS
May 25, 2025
SINGAPORE (Reuters) -U.S. tariffs will have multiplier effects that will generate a broader negative income and demand shock to the Singapore economy, the Monetary Authority of Singapore said in its macroeconomic review released on Monday. As well as the direct impact of a 10% baseline tariff on Singapore's exports to the U.S., its second-largest export market, there will also be...
US Dollar Dominance, Trump's Trade War, And The Threat Of Recession: This Week In Economy
US Dollar Dominance, Trump's Trade War, And The Threat Of Recession: This Week In Economy
May 25, 2025
The past week has been a rollercoaster ride for the markets, with significant shifts and potential economic shocks looming on the horizon. From the unique advantage of the US in navigating economic shifts due to its dollar-denominated debt, to the escalating tariff war initiated by President Donald Trump, the economic landscape is rife with uncertainty. Here’s a quick recap of...
Amid Trump tariffs, China's trade and economy tsar steps into spotlight
Amid Trump tariffs, China's trade and economy tsar steps into spotlight
May 25, 2025
BEIJING/WASHINGTON (Reuters) -When the leaders of some of the world's largest companies flocked to Beijing for a business forum last month, their main purpose was a coveted meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping. But many were left impressed by Vice Premier He Lifeng, according to a U.S. business person briefed on the encounters.   A longtime confidant of the Chinese leader,...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved