financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Citi raises gold forecast to $3,500/oz over next 3 months on negative US outlook
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Citi raises gold forecast to $3,500/oz over next 3 months on negative US outlook
Aug 3, 2025 9:43 PM

(Reuters) -Citi raised its gold price forecast over next three months to $3,500 per ounce on Monday from $3,300, and the expected trading range to $3,300-$3,600 from $3,100-$3,500, on the belief that near-term U.S. growth and inflation outlook has deteriorated.

"U.S. growth and tariff-related inflation concerns are set to remain elevated during 2H'25, which alongside a weaker dollar, are set to drive gold moderately higher, to new all-time highs" the bank said.

Last week, U.S. President Donald Trump imposed steep tariffs on exports from dozens of trading partners, including Canada, Brazil, India and Taiwan.

The tariffs imposed last week on scores of countries are likely to stay in place rather than be cut as part of continuing negotiations, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said on CBS show "Face the Nation" aired on Sunday.

Last week, the dollar weakened after nonfarm payrolls increasing by 73,000 jobs last month, after rising by a downwardly revised 14,000 in June, which revived hopes of a Fed rate cut in September, with markets now pricing in an 81% chance, per CME FedWatch tool

Citi also highlights weaker U.S. labor data in second quarter of 2025, institutional credibility concerns have increased regarding the Federal Reserve and US statistics, and elevated geopolitical risks related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Gold, traditionally considered a safe-haven asset during political and economic uncertainties, tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment.

Citi estimates gross gold demand has risen over one-third since mid-2022, nearly doubling prices by second quarter of 2025.

The strength in gold demand was driven by strong investment demand, moderate central bank buying and resilient jewellery demand despite higher prices, the bank added.

Spot gold was trading at $3,356.88/oz at 0340 GMT on Monday. [GOL/]

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Correction: S&P 500 Posts Fourth Consecutive Weekly Loss Amid Retaliatory Tariffs, Worsening Consumer Sentiment
Correction: S&P 500 Posts Fourth Consecutive Weekly Loss Amid Retaliatory Tariffs, Worsening Consumer Sentiment
Mar 17, 2025
03:37 PM EDT, 03/17/2025 (MT Newswires) -- (Corrects closing value and percentage losses in first two paragraphs in story published Friday.) The Standard and Poor's 500 index fell 2.3% this week, extending losses for the year amid concerns about the expanding global trade war and a bigger-than-expected drop in consumer sentiment. The S&P 500 ended Friday's session at 5,638.94, marking...
US civil rights agency warns law firms over workplace DEI policies
US civil rights agency warns law firms over workplace DEI policies
Mar 17, 2025
(Reuters) - The head of the U.S. agency that enforces laws banning workplace discrimination on Monday warned 20 major law firms that their employment policies meant to boost diversity, equity and inclusion may be illegal. ...
China's Xi may visit US in not-too-distant future, Trump says
China's Xi may visit US in not-too-distant future, Trump says
Mar 17, 2025
By Gram Slattery and Trevor Hunnicutt (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday suggested that Chinese President Xi Jinping may visit the United States in the not-too-distant future for talks as economic tensions escalate between the powers. Trump has slapped 20% levies on all imports from China since taking office in January, faulting Beijing for not halting the flow...
Fed's March Meeting Expected To Signal No Hurry On Rate Cuts As Powell 'Likely To Tread Carefully'
Fed's March Meeting Expected To Signal No Hurry On Rate Cuts As Powell 'Likely To Tread Carefully'
Mar 17, 2025
The Federal Reserve is set to hold interest rates steady on Wednesday, reinforcing its “not-in-a-hurry” stance on rate cuts while possibly raising inflation forecasts to account for the economic impact of new trade tariffs. The decision will mark the second consecutive meeting at which rates remain unchanged. Policymakers await further progress in taming inflation before considering reductions. The Federal Open...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved