financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Consumers' Three-Year Inflation Outlook Rises, One-Year Unmoved, NY Fed Survey Shows
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Consumers' Three-Year Inflation Outlook Rises, One-Year Unmoved, NY Fed Survey Shows
Apr 8, 2024 1:20 PM

03:47 PM EDT, 04/08/2024 (MT Newswires) -- US consumers' three-year inflation expectations climbed in March while the one-year component didn't budge for a third consecutive month, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said Monday.

Median inflation expectations last month increased to 2.9% from 2.7% over the next three years but held steady at 3% at the one-year horizon, according to the regional Fed's Survey of Consumer Expectations.

Median year-ahead price change expectations climbed for all goods tracked in the survey, including by 0.2 percentage points for both gas and food to 4.5% and 5.1%, respectively. The projections rose by 1.3 percentage points to 8.1% for the cost of medical care, by 2.6 percentage points to 8.7% for rent, and by 0.7 percentage point to 6.5% for college education.

The longer-term five-year inflation outlook dipped to 2.6% in March from 2.9% the previous month, the New York Fed said.

Wall Street largely expects the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday to report that the consumer price index rose 0.3% sequentially and 3.4% annually in March, according to a Bloomberg-compiled consensus.

"Amid a slew of solid data and elevated inflation, yields continue to rise as investors are seemingly flooding into our previously lonely boat of potentially just two rate (interest rate) cuts this year," Stifel Chief Economist Lindsey Piegza and Economist Lauren Henderson said in a Monday note.

On Friday, nonfarm payrolls posted the largest monthly gain since last May, exceeding market expectations. The US producer price index for March is scheduled to be released Thursday.

The mean perceived probability of losing a job in the next 12 months rose by 1.2 percentage points to 15.7%, the highest reading since September 2020, while the odds of leaving a job voluntarily increased by 1.1 percentage points to 20.6%,the New York Fed said.

The perceived probability of missing a minimum debt payment in the next three months climbed by 1.5 points to 12.9%, the highest reading in four years since the onset of the pandemic.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US, Chinese officials face off on export controls, Trump tariff threat in Malaysia
US, Chinese officials face off on export controls, Trump tariff threat in Malaysia
Oct 23, 2025
KUALA LUMPUR/WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Top economic officials from the U.S. and China are due to arrive in Kuala Lumpur on Friday for talks to prevent a trade war escalation and keep next week's meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping on track. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with Chinese...
Scott Bessent Says Things Are Looking Up For The US Economy: 2026, 2027 Are Going To Be 'Great Years' Thanks To Trump's Tax Reforms
Scott Bessent Says Things Are Looking Up For The US Economy: 2026, 2027 Are Going To Be 'Great Years' Thanks To Trump's Tax Reforms
Oct 23, 2025
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence in the trajectory of the U.S. economy, citing key deflationary trends, tax policy changes, and incoming tax refunds for working Americans. The US Economy ‘Looks Great’ Commenting on the nation’s domestic economic picture, Bessent said that “things look great,” while appearing on Fox Business’ Larry Kudlow. “I think 2026, 2027 are going to be...
US consumer prices likely remained higher in September amid tariff-pass through
US consumer prices likely remained higher in September amid tariff-pass through
Oct 23, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. consumer prices likely rose solidly for a second straight month in September as households paid more for some tariff-sensitive goods, but firmer inflation was not expected to stop the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates again next week. The Consumer Price Index report from the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday is also expected to...
US, Chinese officials face off on export controls, Trump tariff threat in Malaysia
US, Chinese officials face off on export controls, Trump tariff threat in Malaysia
Oct 23, 2025
KUALA LUMPUR/WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Top economic officials from the U.S. and China are due to arrive in Kuala Lumpur on Friday for talks to prevent a trade war escalation and keep next week's meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping on track. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with Chinese...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved