financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Dealmakers see 'green shoots' in M&A activity in election year after 2023 doldrums
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Dealmakers see 'green shoots' in M&A activity in election year after 2023 doldrums
Mar 7, 2024 11:46 AM

NEW ORLEANS (Reuters) - Mergers and acquisitions activity is poised to rebound later this year after a sluggish 2023 as the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates and cash-flush buyers gear up for bigger deals as dealmakers see "green shoots" in the quarters ahead.

Some of the world's most high-profile investment bankers and M&A lawyers speaking at the Tulane Corporate Law Institute conference in New Orleans said confidence levels have returned to boardrooms due to an improved interest rate outlook, slowing inflation, strong corporate earnings, and a robust stock market.

"We're heading in the right direction and maybe we are getting to see green shoots," said Scott Barshay, chair of the corporate department at law firm Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP. "My gut is this time we are at the beginnings of an uptick and that is going to go on for some time."

Global M&A volumes this year through the first week of March surged 55% to $601.79 billion, compared to the same period a year ago, according to Dealogic data. The number of transactions worth over $10 billion jumped threefold to 10 signed deals.

In January, design software firm Synopsys reached a $35 billion deal for smaller rival Ansys. In February, Capital One agreed to acquire credit card rival Discover Financial in an all-stock deal worth $35.3 billion.

"I don't know why you're sitting here, you should go out and get those deals," Bill Anderson, senior managing director and head of global activism and raid defense at Evercore, told the conference.

Private equity dealmaking, however, remained muted this year, after a slump in leveraged buyout volumes due to a spike in financing costs that made larger deals harder to finance.

Lawyers and bankers also said it is still taking deals longer to complete amid regulatory scrutiny.

"The market standard now is not every company has to act with a sprint," said Barshay, adding that the number of smaller transactions is poised to jump this year as they face less resistance from antitrust regulators compared to larger deals.

Investment bankers and lawyers expect a significant pickup in sponsor-backed deals during the second half of the year as debt financing is expected to become cheaper due to rate cuts. Private equity-backed deal volumes are up 22.5% so far this year.

This year's U.S. presidential election in November is also prompting lawyers and bankers to plan ahead for deals that might face more regulatory scrutiny, with some saying they could see a brief pause in dealmaking around the time of the vote until there is more certainty on future policy.

"The only thing we know right now about the election is that we are likely to have the same candidates we had" for the 2020 election, said Audra Cohen, co-managing partner of the general practice group at law firm Sullivan & Cromwell.

Bankers and lawyers also expect a revival in dealmaking driven by shareholder activism, especially as a number of new activist funds have been launched. Even traditionally long-only investment funds are following the traditional activist playbook, and deploying tactics like pushing companies to launch strategic reviews or urging boardrooms to replace management.

"Private equity has a lot of dry powder, and there is a lot of capital that is currently not deployed," said Evercore's Anderson.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Bessent says he will adjust US Treasury debt auctions gradually, safeguard stability
Bessent says he will adjust US Treasury debt auctions gradually, safeguard stability
Nov 12, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Wednesday that he anticipates robust demand continuing in the Treasury debt market and the department will gradually adjust coupon auction sizes to avoid market disruptions. Bessent told a Federal Reserve Bank of New York Treasury markets conference that Treasury would maintain regular and predictable offerings of coupon securities to safeguard the...
Fed's Bostic says he will retire at end of term in February 2026
Fed's Bostic says he will retire at end of term in February 2026
Nov 12, 2025
(Adds word to headline) By Howard Schneider WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic, the first Black and the first openly gay president of one of the Fed's 12 regional banks, said on Wednesday he will retire at the end of his current term on February 28, 2026. His retirement will end an eight-and-a-half-year stint that saw him also...
Bessent says 'substantial' moves coming to cut US prices of coffee, other items
Bessent says 'substantial' moves coming to cut US prices of coffee, other items
Nov 12, 2025
By Andrea Shalal WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Wednesday said Americans would see substantial announcements in coming days aimed at lowering the prices of products like coffee, bananas and other items not grown in the U.S. Bessent told the Fox News program Fox and Friends that the announcements, which he did not define, would bring down prices...
Atlanta Fed President Bostic Announces Retirement Effective Feb. 28
Atlanta Fed President Bostic Announces Retirement Effective Feb. 28
Nov 12, 2025
10:00 AM EST, 11/12/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic said Wednesday that he will retire when his term ends on Feb. 28, 2026. The Atlanta Fed President does not vote on the Federal Open Market Committee until 2027. Bostic has served in his position since June 5, 2017. It's been my distinct honor and privilege...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved