financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Economic Activity Little Changed as Labor Demand 'Generally Muted,' Fed's Beige Book Shows
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Economic Activity Little Changed as Labor Demand 'Generally Muted,' Fed's Beige Book Shows
Oct 15, 2025 1:11 PM

03:50 PM EDT, 10/15/2025 (MT Newswires) -- US economic activity was little changed since early September as prices increased further, while labor demand was "generally muted," the Federal Reserve said in its latest Beige Book released Wednesday.

Three Fed districts reported slight to modest growth in economic activity, while four saw a softening, according to the document, prepared by the San Francisco Fed based on data collected by Oct. 6.

A US federal government shutdown started Oct. 1 and has delayed key economic data, including the official September jobs report.

The previous Beige Book, which was released Sept. 3, showed that economic activity and employment levels were little changed since July, while firms in most districts expected price increases to continue in the coming months.

The latest Beige Book showed Wednesday that prices continued to move upward since the previous report, with several districts indicating a faster rate of input cost growth partly due to higher import expenses.

"Tariff-induced input cost increases were reported across many districts, but the extent of those higher costs passing through to final prices varied," according to the document. Most districts reported "challenging conditions" in the manufacturing sector amid higher tariffs and subdued demand, the Beige Book showed.

On Friday, US President Donald Trump threatened China with steep tariff increases after Beijing moved to expand its rare earths export controls. However, in a social media post on Sunday about China, Trump said it "will all be fine."

"Employment levels were largely stable in recent weeks, and demand for labor was generally muted across districts and sectors," the Beige Book showed Wednesday. "Wages grew across all reporting districts, generally at a modest to moderate pace, and labor cost pressures intensified in recent weeks due to outsized increases in employer-sponsored health insurance expenses."

Most districts saw more employers reducing headcounts via attrition and layoffs amid weaker demand and high economic uncertainty, the document showed. "Labor supply in the hospitality, agriculture, construction, and manufacturing sectors was reportedly strained in several districts due to recent changes to immigration policies," according to the Beige Book.

"Given the (Federal Open Market Committee's) recent preoccupation with downside job market risks, it is likely to ignore the temporary inflation threat and trim rates again later this month," BMO Capital Markets said in report published Wednesday. The FOMC is widely expected to deliver a quarter-percentage-point interest rate cut Oct. 29, following a similar move last month, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

A few Fed districts saw an improvement in sentiment, with some contacts expecting "an uptick" in demand over the coming six to 12 months, the Beige Book showed Wednesday. "However, many others continued to expect elevated uncertainty to weigh down activity. One district report highlighted the downside risk to growth from a prolonged government shutdown."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
August Philadelphia Fed Regional Nonmanufacturing Activity Index Indicates Faster Pace of Contraction
August Philadelphia Fed Regional Nonmanufacturing Activity Index Indicates Faster Pace of Contraction
Aug 20, 2024
08:41 AM EDT, 08/20/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's monthly nonmanufacturing activity index declined to minus 25.1 in August from minus 19.1 in the previous month, indicating a faster pace of contraction in the sector. The reading for employment fell further into negative territory, while readings for new orders and the sales index increased, though new orders...
US Dollar Falls Early Tuesday Ahead of Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing, Redbook, Fed Appearances
US Dollar Falls Early Tuesday Ahead of Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing, Redbook, Fed Appearances
Aug 20, 2024
07:36 AM EDT, 08/20/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar fell against its major trading partners early Tuesday ahead of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's nonmanufacturing index for August set for release at 8:30 am ET and weekly Redbook same-store sales due out at 8:55 am ET. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic is scheduled to speak at 1:35 pm ET, followed...
U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Continue to Fall, No Longer Signal Recession
U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Continue to Fall, No Longer Signal Recession
Aug 20, 2024
The Conference Board's leading indicators no longer signal recession.The U.S. recession fears were partly responsible for the early August slide in stocks and cryptocurrencies.The leading U.S. economic indicators are still pointing to a slowdown, but no longer signal a recession, data from the Conference Board, a nonpartisan and non-profit research organization, showed Tuesday. That's a positive sign for risk assets,...
Fed officials uneasy about job market as they get ready for Jackson Hole
Fed officials uneasy about job market as they get ready for Jackson Hole
Aug 20, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Federal Reserve officials gathering at the annual central banking conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, this week can take some satisfaction that the U.S. unemployment rate, at 4.3%, remains low by historical standards. But it usually is: The U.S. experience of unemployment since the late 1940s has involved jobless rates that far more often than not are below...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved