financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Factbox-How Wall Street firms see US jobless rate shaping Fed rate cut
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Factbox-How Wall Street firms see US jobless rate shaping Fed rate cut
Sep 6, 2024 1:26 PM

(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut borrowing costs at its upcoming meeting Sept. 17-18 and the strength of the job market is likely to be a deciding factor on whether it delivers a quarter-of-a-percentage-point cut or a bigger half-point cut.

Below is a sampling of Wall Street banks' forecasts for the August employment report along with their expectations for the size of the Fed's rate cut later this month. Banks' baseline forecasts are indicated in ALL CAPITAL LETTERS.

Some banks have also roughed out what they think the Fed could do under a range of possible readings in Friday's labor market report. Fed policy rate forecasts provided under these alternative scenarios are indicated with an *asterisk* in the table.

Overall, economists polled by Reuters estimate the U.S. unemployment rate fell to 4.2% in August, from 4.3% in July, and payrolls rose by 160,000, up from July's 114,000. Employment data will be released 0830 ET (1230 GMT) on Friday.

IF jobless payrolls Fed will cut by Fed will cut by

rate is AND gain is 25 bps 50 bps

4.2%

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
UAW accuses Trump, Musk of trying to intimidate workers in labor complaints
UAW accuses Trump, Musk of trying to intimidate workers in labor complaints
Aug 13, 2024
* UAW President Shawn Fain condemns Trump and Musk's actions as illegal and predictable * NLRB can order employers to cease illegal conduct and inform workers of their rights * Musk's companies face multiple NLRB complaints, including illegal threats and discouraging unionizing * Trump and Fain have exchanged barbs in the past (Adds details and commentary from Teamsters in paragraphs...
Federal Reserve Watch for Aug. 13: Rate Reductions Coming, Willing to be Patient, Bostic Says
Federal Reserve Watch for Aug. 13: Rate Reductions Coming, Willing to be Patient, Bostic Says
Aug 13, 2024
02:23 PM EDT, 08/13/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic (voter) said federal funds rate cuts are likely this year, but he needs to see more evidence that the downward trajectory in inflation seen over the last few months is sustained before lowering rates. Bostic repeated that there are risks to cutting rates too early, particularly the...
Wall Street Set To Rally On Mild Producer Inflation Data As Traders Boost Bets On Bigger Fed Rate Cut: 5 ETFs To Watch Tuesday
Wall Street Set To Rally On Mild Producer Inflation Data As Traders Boost Bets On Bigger Fed Rate Cut: 5 ETFs To Watch Tuesday
Aug 13, 2024
A lower-than-expected producer inflation report sparked bullish sentiment in Tuesday’s premarket trading, as traders increased their bets on a larger Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month. In July, the headline Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand edged up by 0.1% month-over-month, slowing from June’s 0.2% increase and missing economists’ expectations of a 0.2% rise, according to TradingEconomics. On...
Fed's Bostic says a 'little more data' needed to be ready to cut rates
Fed's Bostic says a 'little more data' needed to be ready to cut rates
Aug 13, 2024
(Reuters) - Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic on Tuesday said recent economic data has made him more confident the U.S. central bank can get inflation back to the 2% target, but he wants to see a little more data before he's ready to support lowering interest rates. Bostic, speaking at an event in Atlanta, noted that the balance of...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved