financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Factbox-Most banks expect gold's bull run to persist into 2025
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Factbox-Most banks expect gold's bull run to persist into 2025
Oct 3, 2024 1:02 AM

(Reuters) - Major banks expect gold to extend its record-breaking price rally into 2025 because of a revival in large inflows to exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and expectations of additional interest rate cuts from prominent central banks around the world, including the U.S. Federal Reserve.

"Strong physical demand from China and central banks supported gold prices over the past two years, but investor flow, and retail-focused ETF builds in particular, continue to hold the key to a further sustained rally over the upcoming Fed cutting cycle," analysts at J.P. Morgan said in a note on Monday.

Non-yielding gold has gained nearly $570 an ounce, or over 27%, so far this year, putting it on track for its biggest annual rise since 2010 and positioning itself as one of the standout assets of 2024. The precious metal hit a record high of $2,639.95/oz earlier on Tuesday and has notched record highs several times this year. [GOL/]

"Despite reaching multiple highs this year and outperforming major stock indices, we believe gold has more room to run over the next six to 12 months," analysts at UBS said in a note last month, adding that "key factors in our view include a revival of large inflows to exchange traded funds (ETFs) - something that has been missing since April 2022."

The Fed began its easing cycle last week with a half-percentage-point rate cut, and forecast another 50 basis points of cuts by the end of this year and a full percentage point of cuts next year.

Zero-yielding bullion tends to be a preferred investment in a low interest rate environment and during geopolitical turmoil.

The Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election could also boost gold prices further as potential market volatility may drive investors towards safe-haven gold, analysts said.

The following is a list of the latest brokerage forecasts for 2024 and 2025 prices for gold (in $ per ounce):

Brokerage/Agency Annual Price Forecasts Price Targets

2024 2025

Commerzbank* $2,600 $2,600 $2,600 for mid-2025

ANZ* $2,394 $2,805 $2,900 by end-2025

Macquarie $2,339 $2,463 Q1, 2025 peak of $2,600/oz, with

potential for a spike towards $3,000/oz

Goldman Sachs - - $2,700 by early-2025

UBS - - $2,700 by mid-2025

BofA $2,365 $2,750 Scope for gold to hit $3,000/oz

J.P. Morgan $2,398 $2,775 $2,850

Citi Research $2,360 $2,875 Baseline average price projections of

$2,800-3,000/oz in 2025

*end-of-period forecasts

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Instant view: Fed's Powell opens door to September easing
Instant view: Fed's Powell opens door to September easing
Aug 22, 2025
NEW YORK (Reuters) -U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday pointed to a possible rate cut at the central bank's September meeting but stopped short of committing to it in remarks that walked a narrow line acknowledging growing risks to the job market while also saying risks of higher inflation remain. While the labor market appears to be in...
Trump says he'll fire Fed's Cook if she doesn't resign
Trump says he'll fire Fed's Cook if she doesn't resign
Aug 22, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday said he would fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook if she doesn't resign. I'll fire her if she doesn't resign, Trump told reporters during a visit to a Washington museum focused on the White House. Cook, the first Black woman to serve on the Fed board, said she had no intention of...
Fed's Powell announces policy framework tweaks for changed economic landscape
Fed's Powell announces policy framework tweaks for changed economic landscape
Aug 22, 2025
(Reuters) -Nodding toward significant changes in the economic landscape over the last five years, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday announced an updated operating framework for the U.S. central bank that reflects the return of higher inflation pressures and reduced prospect of near zero short-term interest rates. Announcing the changes in a speech to be delivered to the Jackson Hole...
Federal Reserve Chair Powell Says Change in Policy Stance May be Warranted
Federal Reserve Chair Powell Says Change in Policy Stance May be Warranted
Aug 22, 2025
10:24 AM EDT, 08/22/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell opened the door to interest rate reductions in his keynote address at the Jackson Hole Fed summit Friday, but stopped short of promising a reduction at the Sept. 16-17 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, and risks...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved