financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Fed gets no reason to rush on rate cuts as job market holds up
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Fed gets no reason to rush on rate cuts as job market holds up
May 26, 2025 12:26 AM

(Reuters) -Federal Reserve policymakers on the alert for possible cracks in the labor market as businesses adjust to President Donald Trump's erratic trade policy got some reassurance on Friday that so far there's little weakness, and no reason to rush on rate cuts.

U.S. employers added a more-than-expected 177,000 jobs in April, the Labor Department reported, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.2%. Both are signs the labor market remains in balance during a month when Trump announced the steepest tariffs in a century, sending stocks downward and convulsing the bond market before the administration paused many of those levies until July.

With the job market holding up and inflation still running above their 2% target, Fed policymakers are expected to stick to their plan to leave short-term borrowing costs where they are while they wait to see how the tariffs affect prices and economic growth. Hourly earnings rose 3.8% from a year earlier, the jobs report showed, the same pace as in March and in the range of what the Fed considers to be consistent with its 2% inflation target. 

"In the here and now, solid labor market data provides the Fed with scope for patience," said Lindsay Rosner, head of multisector fixed income investing at Goldman Sachs Asset Management. "With the forward-looking outlook having deteriorated, however, today's data feels somewhat backward looking and the risks remain that a weakening economy could see the Fed resume its easing cycle later in the year."

Traders are now betting the Fed will wait until July to start cutting interest rates; earlier they had thought a June move was more likely. And they now see the Fed delivering a total of three quarter-point interest rate cuts by year-end, one fewer than previously.

Shortly after the report Trump reiterated his own call for the Fed to lower rates. 

Fed policymakers, who say it will be the economy's needs not the president's desires that will dictate their moves, want to be sure that inflation won't resurge. With the tariffs expected to drive prices higher, at least temporarily, they have signaled they'll keep the policy rate in the current 4.25%-4.50% range to keep downward pressure on inflation, as long as the job market doesn't crumble.

And so far it's not, despite sinking consumer and business sentiment on fears that tariffs will hamstring U.S. growth. 

In April, the net number of people joining the labor market exceeded those leaving by the most since August 2023, a sign of a resilience.

"Big picture, the U.S. labor market has not yet capitulated to the negative sentiment building among consumers and businesses, though the full weight of the tariffs shock remains directly ahead of us," wrote BMO Economics' Scott Anderson. 

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Trump says president should have say in Fed decisions
Trump says president should have say in Fed decisions
Aug 8, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump said on Thursday that U.S. presidents should have a say over decisions made by the Federal Reserve. I feel the president should have at least (a) say in there, he told reporters at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida. I think that in my case, I made a lot of money, I was...
0.5% Or 0.25%? Federal Reserve Cuts In September Seem A Done Deal, But Bond Traders And Crypto Bettors Disagree On How Much
0.5% Or 0.25%? Federal Reserve Cuts In September Seem A Done Deal, But Bond Traders And Crypto Bettors Disagree On How Much
Aug 8, 2024
The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to continue raising interest rates aggressively in 2024 to tackle persistent inflation, but there are signs that market participants may not be fully aligned in their expectations. What Happened: A key divergence has emerged between the implied probabilities of a 50-basis point rate hike at the Fed’s September 2024 meeting, as reflected in...
Fed responds to economic data, not politics or stocks, says Chicago Fed's Goolsbee
Fed responds to economic data, not politics or stocks, says Chicago Fed's Goolsbee
Aug 8, 2024
(Reuters) - Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee on Thursday reiterated that the central bank's job is not to respond to stock market routs or political considerations The Fed's out of the election business. The Fed is in the economic business, Goolsbee said in an interview on Fox News, noting the Fed has been very clear about what economic...
Fed's Barkin sees inflation coming down, time to assess policy
Fed's Barkin sees inflation coming down, time to assess policy
Aug 8, 2024
(Reuters) - Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Barkin on Thursday said that cooling in the U.S. labor market is coming from slower hiring rather than a rise in layoffs, allowing the central bank to figure out its next move.    I'm actually pretty optimistic that over the next few months we're going to see good readings on the inflation...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved