financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Fed gets some good news on inflation progress
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Fed gets some good news on inflation progress
May 15, 2024 10:25 AM

(Reuters) - Federal Reserve policymakers waiting to see renewed progress on inflation before reducing borrowing costs got some encouraging data on Wednesday with a government report showing inflation eased a bit in April.    The 3.4% rise in the consumer price index from a year earlier, and the 0.3% increase from March, shows the Fed still has some distance to go before it achieves its 2% target for inflation.

But the report broke a three-month streak of hotter-than-expected readings that had sapped Fed policymaker confidence in a narrative of steadily easing price pressures. An increasing number of them had warned in recent weeks that rates would need to stay high for longer.

Particularly heartening in Wednesday's report, analysts said, was a slight easing in shelter inflation that policymakers have long expected but had been disappointingly slow to show up in the data. Rent prices rose 0.35% from a month earlier, their slowest pace since 2021, the report showed.

Core CPI, which strips out energy and food prices and is seen as a better gauge of underlying price pressures, rose 3.6%, its slowest in three years.

Analysts crunching the numbers said the CPI data suggests the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditures price index, likely also eased in April.

JP Morgan chief economist Michael Feroli estimated the core PCE gained 2.7% last month from a year earlier, down from 2.8% in March.

The inflation readings are "firmer than the Fed's inflation goals, but at least are moving in the right direction again after the backsliding seen over the prior few months," Feroli wrote.

A separate government report showed previously fast-rising retail sales were unchanged in April compared to March.

After the data traders firmed up bets on Fed rate cuts in both September and December, with rate-futures contracts pricing pointing to a year-end policy rate of 4.75%-5%, down from the current range of 5.25%-5.5%.

An early start to rate cuts remained a long shot, based on rate-futures contracts, with pricing reflecting only slightly more than a one-in-four chance of a July rate cut.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday signaled the Fed may need to defer rate cuts until farther into the year to ensure inflation is headed back down to the Fed's 2% goal, but also said he thinks a rate hike at this point is unlikely.

"If there were concerns that they weren't going to cut at all, this just alleviated some of those concerns," said Jason Price, chief of investment strategy and research at Glenmede. "What it doesn't do is put the Fed on a trajectory to begin cutting immediately. They're going to need a couple more reports to get some confidence."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Unemployment Claims Surge More Than Expected, Hit 8-Month Peak: Dollar Falls As Traders Bet On Rate Cuts
Unemployment Claims Surge More Than Expected, Hit 8-Month Peak: Dollar Falls As Traders Bet On Rate Cuts
May 9, 2024
The number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits soared more than predicted last week, suggesting emerging weaknesses in the labor market. Jobless claims rose from 209,000 to 231,000 for the week that ended on May 4, marking the highest level since August of the previous year, according to data released by the Department of Labor. This rise ended a sequence...
Top Midday Stories: Brookfield Q1 Revenue Down; Activist Investor Gets 3 Nominees Elected to Norfolk Southern Board; Nippon Steel Raising $1.61 Billion Ahead of Planned US Steel Acquisition
Top Midday Stories: Brookfield Q1 Revenue Down; Activist Investor Gets 3 Nominees Elected to Norfolk Southern Board; Nippon Steel Raising $1.61 Billion Ahead of Planned US Steel Acquisition
May 9, 2024
12:21 PM EDT, 05/09/2024 (MT Newswires) -- All three major US indexes were up in midday trading Thursday as the latest jobless claims data bolsters investors' hopes of monetary policy easing in the near future by the Federal Reserve. In company news, Brookfield (BN) reported Q1 distributable earnings of $0.77 per share, up from $0.72 in the year-ago period and...
Weekly Jobless Claims Increase to Highest Level Since August 2023
Weekly Jobless Claims Increase to Highest Level Since August 2023
May 9, 2024
12:15 PM EDT, 05/09/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Weekly applications for unemployment insurance rose more than Wall Street's expectations, reaching the highest level since August 2023, government data showed. The seasonally adjusted number of initial claims advanced by 22,000 to 231,000 in the week ended May 4, the US Department of Labor said Thursday. This marked the highest level since the...
Factbox-Who are Israel's main weapons suppliers and who has halted exports?
Factbox-Who are Israel's main weapons suppliers and who has halted exports?
May 9, 2024
(Reuters) - The United States has suspended a shipment of weapons to Israel, including heavy, bunker-busting bombs Israeli forces have used in their war against Hamas militants in Gaza that has killed nearly 35,000 Palestinians in seven months. U.S. President Joe Biden acted in the face of Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's decision to pursue a military assault on the...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved