financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Fed seen on course for rate cuts after weak jobs data
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Fed seen on course for rate cuts after weak jobs data
Nov 4, 2024 12:09 PM

(Reuters) - Any doubts the Federal Reserve will go ahead with an interest-rate cut next week fell away on Friday after a government report showed U.S. employers added fewer workers in October than in any month since December 2020.

The 12,000 increase in non-farm payrolls last month was far short of the 113,000 economists had anticipated even after they tried to account for tens of thousands of workers kept off the job by a Boeing ( BA ) strike and the impact of two large hurricanes in the Southeast.

The unemployment rate, however, remained at 4.1%, in what some analysts took as an indication that the labor market remains strong and much of the unexpected weakness in payrolls will be reversed when the strike is resolved and as hurricane damage is repaired.

Some 512,000 people reported they were unable to work due to bad weather, the most for any October since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began tracking that figure in 1976.

"The nonfarm payrolls may not be great on its face, but this recent drop should be a temporary miss as rebuilding and activity pick up after the hurricanes and with the likelihood of the Boeing ( BA ) strike ending," said Byron Anderson, head of fixed income at Laffer Tengler Investments.

Traders of futures that settle to the Fed's policy rate were pricing about a 99% chance of a quarter-point interest-rate cut on Nov. 7, to 4.5%-4.75%, compared with 92% earlier. But notably, rate-futures prices reflected no chance the Fed would deliver another half-point interest-rate cut as it did in September when it began easing policy to head off deterioration in labor markets.

Traders are now pricing about an 83% chance that the policy rate will be in the 4.25%-4.50% range by year end, compared with 69% before the data, and have firmed up bets the Fed will bring the rate down to 3.50%-3.75% by July 2025, versus September 2025 previously.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Hawkish Fed Risk Fades After Powell's Remarks: He 'Set The Bar Extremely High For Rate Hikes'
Hawkish Fed Risk Fades After Powell's Remarks: He 'Set The Bar Extremely High For Rate Hikes'
May 1, 2024
In its latest policy meeting on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve opted to maintain its benchmark interest rates at 5.25%-5.50%, aligning with market predictions but offering a cautious stance on the return the 2% inflation target, noting that there has recently been “a lack of further progress.” The Fed has also adjusted its approach to quantitative tightening, now reducing the monthly...
Hawkish Fed Risk Fades After Powell's Remarks: He 'Set The Bar Extremely High For Rate Hikes'
Hawkish Fed Risk Fades After Powell's Remarks: He 'Set The Bar Extremely High For Rate Hikes'
May 1, 2024
In its latest policy meeting on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve opted to maintain its benchmark interest rates at 5.25%-5.50%, aligning with market predictions but offering a cautious stance on the return the 2% inflation target, noting that there has recently been “a lack of further progress.” The Fed has also adjusted its approach to quantitative tightening, now reducing the monthly...
Jim Cramer Says Don't Doubt Fed Chair Powell's Assurance Of No Rate Hike, 'He's Been Consistent The Whole Time'
Jim Cramer Says Don't Doubt Fed Chair Powell's Assurance Of No Rate Hike, 'He's Been Consistent The Whole Time'
May 1, 2024
Jim Cramer, the host of CNBC’s “Mad Money,” has advised investors to trust Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell‘s recent statement that a rate hike is unlikely, despite ongoing inflation concerns. What Happened: Cramer urged investors to take Powell’s word seriously when he indicated that a rate hike is not imminent, despite persistent inflation, reported CNBC. He highlighted that Powell’s comments,...
Fed keeps interest rates at 23-year high, delaying cuts as inflation progress stalls
Fed keeps interest rates at 23-year high, delaying cuts as inflation progress stalls
May 1, 2024
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates at a 23-year high and signaled no immediate plans to cut interest rates, suggesting that officials are having to recalibrate monetary policy as inflation has stayed stubbornly higher than expected. For nine months now, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has kept its key benchmark federal funds rate in a target range of 5.25-5.5...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved