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Federal Reserve Watch for March 22: Powell Says Fed Should Monitor Ground-Level Conditions, Macroeconomic Data
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Federal Reserve Watch for March 22: Powell Says Fed Should Monitor Ground-Level Conditions, Macroeconomic Data
Mar 22, 2024 11:43 AM

02:26 PM EDT, 03/22/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell (voter) and other Fed officials held a Fed Listens event Friday, but did not make any comments on the state or future of monetary policy or the economy.

Powell noted that the impact of the pandemic can still be seen in many communities, so it is necessary for the Fed to listen to conditions on the ground level as well as monitoring the national level macroeconomic data.

Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr (voter) said that there will likely be large changes to banking proposals requiring banks to hold additional capital as a safeguard, repeating comments made by Fed Chair Powell in his testimony on March 6.

Recent comments of note:

(March 20) There were no significant changes to the Federal Open Market Committee's post-meeting statement and no clues about plans to slow the runoff in the Fed's holdings of securities on its balance sheet. Despite adjusting the outlook for GDP growth significantly higher for 2024 in the updated Summary of Economic Projections, core inflation marginally higher and the unemployment rate lower, the median outlook for the federal funds rate remained at 4.6% for the end of the year, still indicating three rate cuts from the current level. The median federal funds rate for the end of 2025 now suggests three rate cuts next year, compared with four in the December update. The end-of-2026 median was revised higher due to the adjustment in 2025, while the longer-term median was adjusted slightly higher to 2.6% from 2.5%.

(March 20) Powell (voter) said that a slowdown in the Fed's holdings of securities on its balance sheet was discussed at the meeting. While no decisions were made, it is likely to be appropriate "fairly soon." Powell repeated that the FOMC is willing to wait for the pace of inflation to move "sustainably" toward the 2% goal before trimming rates.

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