financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Federal Reserve's Beige Book Reveals Tariff-Driven Profit Squeeze As Businesses Avoid Price Hikes — What It Means for Consumers
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Federal Reserve's Beige Book Reveals Tariff-Driven Profit Squeeze As Businesses Avoid Price Hikes — What It Means for Consumers
Jul 17, 2025 1:59 AM

The latest Federal Reserve study of economic conditions reveals that businesses that did not raise prices or pass on the impact of tariffs to their customers are likely to take a hit on their profit margins.

What Happened: The Beige Book is a Federal Reserve System publication about current economic conditions across the 12 Federal Reserve Districts.

According to the central bank, this publication characterizes regional economic conditions and prospects based on a variety of qualitative information gathered directly from each District's sources. Reports are published eight times per year.

The latest edition of the Beige Book, covering the period from late May through early July, highlighted that most districts reported softer consumer spending as uncertainty weighed on consumers and business leaders. Also, ten out of twelve districts expect future economic activity to either flatline or soften in the coming months.

“Prices increased across Districts, with seven characterizing price growth as moderate and five characterizing it as modest, mostly similar to the previous report,” the Beige Book highlighted.

It also stated that “In all twelve Districts, businesses reported experiencing modest to pronounced input cost pressures related to tariffs, especially for raw materials used in manufacturing and construction.”

Commenting on this, Jeffrey Roach, the chief economist at LPL Financial, told Benzinga that “Investors should expect margin compression as businesses held off raising prices because of customers' growing price sensitivity.”

Highlighting how this could affect the consumers, he explained that the persistent cost pressures can increase the likelihood that prices will “start to rise later this summer” if businesses are successful in passing along higher input costs.

Roach also underscored that business leaders in several districts plan to postpone both hirings and layoff decisions until they get clarity about trade policy.

See Also: AAPL ‘Stock Would Soar’ If It Buys This, Says Jim Cramer: ‘Continued Buybacks Will Do Nothing’

Why It Matters: While Roach’s macro quicktake was that Beige Book reveals “heavier margin compression” in the coming months, he asked the investors and consumers to be cautious.

The bottom line, according to Roach, was that “Overall business activity was up in the last month, but the outlook was slightly more pessimistic. We should be watchful for signs of margin compression at the business level, financial stress via rising delinquency rates, and a sluggish housing market as inventories rise.”

Price Action: The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing a 97.4% likelihood of the Federal Reserve keeping the current interest rates unchanged in its July meeting.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust ( SPY ) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF , which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, ended higher on Wednesday. The SPY was up 0.33% at $624.22, while the QQQ advanced 0.10% to $557.29, according to Benzinga Pro data.

On Thursday, the futures of the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones indices were mixed.

Read Next:

Nvidia Is ‘On A March To $5 Trillion' Market Capitalization, Says Dan Ives As He Predicts Bullish Environment For Tech And Crypto: ‘Very Strong Second Half'

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed's Goolsbee: Hard data is pretty solid, but there is fear around tariff impact
Fed's Goolsbee: Hard data is pretty solid, but there is fear around tariff impact
Apr 1, 2025
(Reuters) - Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee on Tuesday said that while the hard data show the underlying U.S. economy is solid, the labor market strong, and inflation down from its peak in 2022, the imposition of a broad new set of tariffs under President Donald Trump could lead to renewed inflation or an economic slowdown. With imports accounting...
Weaker jobs signal, stronger prices highlight potential Fed dilemma
Weaker jobs signal, stronger prices highlight potential Fed dilemma
Apr 1, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Lackluster new U.S. jobs data and a weak report on manufacturing highlight an emerging concern among Federal Reserve officials that employment could slip even as the risk of a tariff-driven round of inflation limits their ability to do anything about it. Data on hiring and layoffs for February showed a job market that was potentially losing steam,...
US dollar outlook more subdued, but tariffs souring sentiment: Reuters poll
US dollar outlook more subdued, but tariffs souring sentiment: Reuters poll
Apr 2, 2025
(This April 1 story has been refiled to correct the spelling of commodities in paragraph 4) By Sarupya Ganguly BENGALURU (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar is forecast to stabilize over the coming months despite mounting worries about the economic impact of President Donald Trump's erratic tariff announcements, according to a Reuters survey of FX strategists. Over one-third of strategists surveyed...
Trump to escalate global trade tensions with new reciprocal tariffs on US trading partners
Trump to escalate global trade tensions with new reciprocal tariffs on US trading partners
Apr 1, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump was poised to impose sweeping new reciprocal tariffs on global trading partners on Wednesday, upending decades of rules-based trade, threatening cost increases and likely drawing retaliation from all sides. Details of Trump's Liberation Day tariff plans were still being formulated and closely held ahead of a White House Rose Garden announcement ceremony scheduled...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved