financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Fed's Cook says, amid high uncertainty, time for Fed to watch data
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Fed's Cook says, amid high uncertainty, time for Fed to watch data
Apr 3, 2025 11:59 AM

(Reuters) - Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said Thursday that amid high levels of uncertainty now is a time for the central bank to take its time to watch how the data comes in before it changes the setting of monetary policy again.

"Amid growing uncertainty and risks to both sides of our dual mandate, I believe it will be appropriate to maintain the policy rate at its current level while continuing to vigilantly monitor developments that could change the outlook," Cook said in the text of a speech prepared for delivery before a gathering at the University of Pittsburgh.

"For now, we can afford to be patient but attentive," the policy maker said, adding "I believe that policy is well situated to respond to developments, and I am continuously updating my outlook as matters evolve."

Cook spoke in the immediate aftermath of a significant acceleration of President Donald Trump's trade war against many other nations, even those who have been long-standing allies. Late Wednesday, the president massively raised tariffs against a slew of other nations out of the belief it will bring more manufacturing back to the U.S. and close trade imbalances.

A wide range of economists recoiled from the president's actions, which exceeded many forecasters' worst-case scenarios, while financial markets around the world saw big sell offs amid souring sentiment over the outlook. The tariffs, which are import taxes paid by Americans rather than foreign producers, will likely drive up already high levels of inflation and depress growth, and could even drive the U.S. and other nations into economic downturns, many analysts say.

"The implied US tariff rate now stands near levels higher than during the Great Depression and last seen in the early 1900s," Deutsche Bank economists said Thursday. Morgan Stanley forecasters said of Trump's tax surge that "risks to inflation lie to the upside," adding "we think tariff-induced inflation will keep the Fed on the sidelines and we remove our June rate cut."

Trump's global trade war has put the Fed in a difficult position. Higher inflation argues for officials to hold steady or even potentially hike interest rates, while a weakening economy and souring job market could call for easier policy. Some in markets believe the difficult outlook makes it more likely the Fed could cut rates to try to limit the collateral damage of the president's actions.

The Fed met last month to deliberate on monetary policy, with officials maintaining their overnight interest rate target rate range at between 4.25% and 4.5%, with the Federal Open Market Committee highlighting a very uncertain economic outlook.

In her speech, Cook said the economy started the year in a "solid position" even as many were unsure what lies ahead. She added she sees growth slowing and the unemployment rate rising a bit over the course of the year.

"Inflation progress will stall in the near term, in part because of tariffs and other policy changes," Cook said. She added, "I currently place more weight on scenarios where risks are skewed to the upside for inflation and to the downside for growth" and noted higher inflation and slower growth "could pose challenges for monetary policy."

Cook also noted that she was watching for evidence that tariffs could drive up inflation pressures persistently.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US weekly jobless claims fall, but labor market softening
US weekly jobless claims fall, but labor market softening
Sep 18, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters -The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits fell last week, but the labor market has softened as both demand for and supply of workers have diminished. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits decreased 33,000 to a seasonally adjusted 231,000 for the week ended September 13, the Labor Department said on Thursday. The decline partially reversed...
US holiday shopping growth to cool this year, Mastercard forecasts
US holiday shopping growth to cool this year, Mastercard forecasts
Sep 19, 2025
By Neil J Kanatt (Reuters) -U.S. holiday sales growth is expected to temper this year, a Mastercard forecast showed on Thursday, as consumers seek discounts and promotions amid inflation and broader macroeconomic uncertainty. The Mastercard Economics Institute report forecasts retail sales to rise 3.6% between November 1 and December 24 this year, compared to a 4.1% growth in the same...
Miran's Fed dissent makes a splash, fails to sway the outcome
Miran's Fed dissent makes a splash, fails to sway the outcome
Sep 20, 2025
(Reuters) - If President Donald Trump hoped that putting a close ally at the Federal Reserve would grab headlines, White House economic adviser Stephen Miran's dissent and way-below consensus interest rate projection on Wednesday delivered. If the hope was to have someone on the inside to get the Fed to lower interest rates as sharply as Trump wants, Miran's lone...
US Supreme Court to hear Trump's tariffs case on November 5
US Supreme Court to hear Trump's tariffs case on November 5
Sep 20, 2025
(Reuters) -The U.S. Supreme Court on Thursday set the date for the oral arguments it will hear concerning the legality of Donald Trump's sweeping global tariffs for November 5 in a major test of one of the Republican president's boldest assertions of executive power that has been central to his economic and trade agenda. The justices announced earlier this month...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved