financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Fed's Kashkari sees two rate cuts at most this year
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Fed's Kashkari sees two rate cuts at most this year
Mar 6, 2024 2:52 PM

(Reuters) - Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari on Wednesday signaled that stronger economic data since the start of the year will likely make it appropriate for the Fed to cut rates only twice, or possibly just once, this year.

"I was at two in December," Kashkari said in an interview on WSJ Live, referring to the number of quarter-point interest-rate cuts he had penciled in when Fed policymakers last made their quarterly economic forecasts. Fresh projections are due in two weeks, when the Fed next meets to set policy.

"It's hard to see, with the data that's come in, that I'd be saying more cuts than I had in December," Kashkari said. "It seems like at a base case I'd be where I was in December, or potentially one fewer, but I haven't decided."

The median forecast of his colleagues in December was three rate cuts this year, which would take the Fed policy rate to a range of 4.5%-4.75%, from its current 5.25%-5.5% range.

Kashkari said the "base case scenario" is that the Fed will not raise rates any further, a view shared by all Fed policymakers, based on their forecasts published in December and remarks since.

If the economy stays resilient and inflation proves to be more entrenched than expected, Kashkari said, "the first thing we do is keep rates where they are for an extended period of time."

With the economy and the labor market strong and inflation coming down, he said: "I would want to see the argument for, why do we think we're actually tamping down the economy if the economy is ongoing in such a healthy way?"

The Fed does want to avoid a downturn, he said, and to stick a "soft landing" where inflation falls but the job market does not collapse, as it historically has done when the Fed has waged a battle with too-high inflation.

But now, he said, "if the economy is doing very well, maybe the economy can sustain this rate environment when we didn't realize that was possible," Kashkari said.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Mary Trump Slams Uncle: 'The Trump Regime Is Weakening Us on Every Single Front'
Mary Trump Slams Uncle: 'The Trump Regime Is Weakening Us on Every Single Front'
Mar 15, 2025
Recent moves by President Donald Trump have raised questions about the future stability of the U.S. economy and programs, and sparked new commentary from a familiar critic. What Happened: These concerns were highlighted in an analysis by Mary Trump, the President’s niece and vocal critic. In a Cubstack post, Mary Trump scrutinized the President’s recent policy decisions. She expressed apprehension...
Could Trump's tariffs cause a recession? The Federal Reserve is meeting against an uncertain economic backdrop
Could Trump's tariffs cause a recession? The Federal Reserve is meeting against an uncertain economic backdrop
Mar 17, 2025
Investors are growing increasingly concerned that President Donald Trump's tariff policies and federal layoffs could spark a U.S. recession. An even bigger worry is that the Federal Reserve might not be able to do much about it. Officials on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are set to discuss at their March 18-19 rate-setting meeting what more can be done...
Mark Cuban Slams Trump Administration For Inflicting Economic Struggles On A Majority Of Republican Supporters: 'This Could Flip Voters'
Mark Cuban Slams Trump Administration For Inflicting Economic Struggles On A Majority Of Republican Supporters: 'This Could Flip Voters'
Mar 17, 2025
Billionaire investor Mark Cuban highlights a report that shows that the trade war as a result of President Donald Trump’s tariffs will significantly impact industries that employ a majority of Trump voters. What Happened: In a post on the BlueSky social, Mark Cuban asks Trump’s political opponents, the Democrats, to track local news and reports to talk about the signs...
Fed officials prepare to lay down marker on impact of Trump policies
Fed officials prepare to lay down marker on impact of Trump policies
Mar 17, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - New economic projections from Federal Reserve officials this week will provide the most tangible evidence yet of how U.S. central bankers view the likely impact of Trump administration policies that have clouded a previously solid economic outlook. Top forecasters have marked down their expectations for growth this year, upped the perceived risk of recession, and anticipate higher...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved