financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
First Interest Rate Cut May Not Come Until June 'If At All,' Economist Warns As Fed Holds Steady
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
First Interest Rate Cut May Not Come Until June 'If At All,' Economist Warns As Fed Holds Steady
Jan 29, 2025 1:35 PM

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at a range of 4.25% to 4.5% on Wednesday, following a series of three consecutive rate cuts that began in September. Here's a look at how experts see the Federal Reserve's path ahead. 

Expert Ideas: Multiple economists noted that the language in the Fed's policy statement had turned slightly more hawkish as "progress" had been removed. 

The statement released Wednesday reads, "Inflation remains somewhat elevated," a change from the prior statement which said that "Inflation has made progress toward the Committee's 2% objective but remains somewhat elevated." 

Read Next: Robert Kennedy Jr. Faces Senate Confirmation Hearings As Bird Flu Concerns Grow: Caroline Kennedy Says Cousin ‘Predator’ Unfit For Office 

Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, said that the Federal Reserve is likely being cautious as they wait to see if policy changes from the Trump administration, including higher tariffs and tighter immigration regulations, lead to higher inflation. 

Investors are now pricing in a 30% probability of a rate cut at the Fed's March meeting, a 45% chance in June, a 28.3% chance in September, and a 17% probability of a cut in December. 

Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist for RSM, sees the first possible rate cut of 25 basis points coming in June and another quarter-point cut in December. 

"We think the first possible date for any rate cuts that might come this year, if at all, is June," Brusuelas said. 

Larry Tentarelli, chief technical strategist for Blue Chip Daily Trend Report, called Wednesday's pause from the Fed a "non-event" for markets and echoed Brusuelas' call for two 25-basis point rate cuts, one in June and one in December. 

However, he cautioned that "Fed moves will really be based on future incoming payrolls data and inflation data." 

Markets React: All major U.S. indices were down on Wednesday with the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust , tracking the S&P 500, down 0.45% at $601.81 and the Invesco QQQ Trust , tracking the Nasdaq 100 index, down 0.19% at $520.83. 

Read Next: 

Trump Reverses Biden’s AI Policies On Day 1: What It Means For Tech Giants Nvidia, AMD, Alphabet 

Image: Shutterstock

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fall
US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fall
Mar 21, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting that job growth remained strong in March. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 210,000 for the week ended March 16, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 215,000 claims in the...
US Congress releases $1.1 trillion spending package to avert shutdown
US Congress releases $1.1 trillion spending package to avert shutdown
Mar 21, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - After days of delay, U.S. congressional leaders unveiled a $1.1 trillion bipartisan spending measure for defense, homeland security and other programs early on Thursday, giving lawmakers less than two days to avert a partial government shutdown. The Republican-controlled House of Representatives will vote on the sprawling package on Friday, leaving the Democratic-majority Senate only hours to pass...
UBS Global Research pushes back Fed rate cut expectation to June
UBS Global Research pushes back Fed rate cut expectation to June
Mar 21, 2024
(Reuters) - UBS Global Research now expects the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates from June, a month later that its previous prediction and in line with other brokerages' forecasts, it said on Thursday, after the central bank broadly stuck to its monetary policy trajectory. UBS expects a 25 basis point (bps) cut in June, followed by two additional...
US Dollar Mixed Early Thursday After FOMC Signals Still on Track for Rate Cuts
US Dollar Mixed Early Thursday After FOMC Signals Still on Track for Rate Cuts
Mar 21, 2024
07:46 AM EDT, 03/21/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar was mixed against its major trading partners early Thursday -- up versus the euro and pound, down versus the yen and Canadian dollar -- as markets react to the Federal Open Market Committee's upward adjustment to 2024 economic growth and inflation forecasts, but no change to its expectation of three...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved