BERLIN, July 30 (Reuters) - Germany's economy contracted
by 0.1% in the second quarter, data showed on Wednesday, as
demand from the United States slowed following months of strong
purchases in anticipation of U.S. tariffs.
The contraction was in line with forecasts, reversing
the growth recorded in the first quarter, when importers in the
U.S. bought more goods earlier than usual because they expected
tariffs to go up.
This contraction left GDP still stuck at its pre-pandemic
size, said Franziska Palmas, senior Europe economist at Capital
Economics, who added that it was "partly, but not solely," due
to the reversal of tariff front-running.
Investment in Germany fell in the second quarter, while
consumption and government spending rose, compared to the
previous quarter, the statistics office said.
The office also revised first-quarter growth downward to
0.3% from the previous 0.4%.
The U.S. struck a framework trade agreement with the
European Union on Sunday, imposing a 15% import tariff on most
EU goods, half of what was originally threatened. The agreement
helped avoid a bigger trade war between the two allies, who
together make up almost a third of global trade.
The U.S. was Germany's biggest trading partner in 2024 with
two-way goods trade totalling 253 billion euros ($278 billion).
"Germany is likely to be hit harder than other major
economies by tariffs and continue to struggle this year before
fiscal stimulus starts to boost the economy in 2026," Palmas
said.
Despite optimism
in recent surveys
, Wednesday's GDP data is "a painful reminder that optimism
alone does not automatically bring back strong growth", said
Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro at ING.
"The economy's flirtation with yet another year of
stagnation continues."