financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Global oil supply to swamp demand in 2019 despite output cuts, says IEA
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Global oil supply to swamp demand in 2019 despite output cuts, says IEA
Feb 13, 2019 6:06 AM

The global oil market will struggle this year to absorb fast-growing crude supply from outside OPEC, even with the group's production cuts and US sanctions on Venezuela and Iran, the International Energy Agency said in a report on Wednesday.

Share Market Live

NSE

The IEA left its demand growth forecast for 2019 unchanged from its last report in January at 1.4 million barrels per day.

"It is supported by lower prices and the start-up of petrochemical projects in China and the US Slowing economic growth will, however, limit any upside," the agency said.

The IEA raised its estimate of growth in crude supply from outside the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries to 1.8 million bpd in 2019, from 1.6 million bpd previously.

The agency also lowered its forecast for demand for OPEC crude, production of which the group has pledged to cut by 800,000 bpd this year as part of an agreement with Russia and other non-OPEC producers such as Oman and Kazakhstan.

The "call" on OPEC crude is now forecast at 30.7 million bpd in 2019, down from the IEA's last estimate of 31.6 million bpd in January.

US sanctions on Iran and Venezuela have choked off supply of the heavier, more sour crude that tends to yield larger volumes of higher-value distillates, as opposed to gasoline. The move has created disruption for some refiners but has not led to a dramatic increase in the oil price in 2019.

"In terms of crude oil quantity, markets may be able to adjust after initial logistical dislocations (from Venezuela sanctions)", the Paris-based IEA said.

"Stocks in most markets are currently ample and ... there is more spare production capacity available."

Venezuela's production has almost halved in two years to 1.17 million bpd, as an economic crisis decimated its energy industry and US sanctions have now crippled its exports.

Brent crude futures have risen 20 percent in 2019 to around $63 a barrel, but most of that increase took place in early January. The price has largely plateaued since then, in spite of the subsequent imposition of US sanctions.

"Oil prices have not increased alarmingly because the market is still working off the surpluses built up in the second half of 2018," the IEA said.

"In quantity terms, in 2019, the US alone will grow its crude oil production by more than Venezuela's current output. In quality terms, it is more complicated. Quality matters."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed's interest rate pause bolstered by jobs data, but concerns linger
Fed's interest rate pause bolstered by jobs data, but concerns linger
Mar 11, 2026
Feb 11 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve policymakers look likely to keep interest rates on hold for longer after data on Wednesday showed the U.S. job market began 2026 on better footing than expected, but revisions showing payroll growth all but stalled last year will keep alive concerns about a weakening labor market.  The Bureau of Labor Statistics, in its shutdown-delayed...
NY Fed report says Americans pay for almost all of Trump's tariffs
NY Fed report says Americans pay for almost all of Trump's tariffs
Mar 11, 2026
Feb 12 (Reuters) - Americans are shouldering almost all of President Donald Trump's import tax surge, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said on Thursday. The bank said 90% of the tariffs imposed by the president on imported goods are borne by American consumers and companies. The report pushes back against the Trump administration's argument that...
US existing home sales drop to more than two-year low in January
US existing home sales drop to more than two-year low in January
Mar 11, 2026
WASHINGTON, Feb 12 (Reuters) - U.S. existing home sales tumbled to the lowest level in more than two years in January as falling inventory raised house prices. Home sales dropped 8.4% last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of ​3.91 million units, the lowest level since December 2023, ‌the National Association of Realtors said on Thursday. Economists polled by...
Coinbase, Robinhood earnings, U.S. jobs report: Crypto Week Ahead
Coinbase, Robinhood earnings, U.S. jobs report: Crypto Week Ahead
Mar 11, 2026
The brief, partial U.S. government shutdown put paid to the Employment Situation report that was due Friday; it's coming this week instead. Look for the bellwether nonfarm payrolls report on Wednesday. The world's largest economy is forecast to have created 70,000 jobs last month, more than in December, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.4%. The...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved