financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Growing US Deficits Could Boost Bitcoin, Says Investment Guru — But Only Under One Condition
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Growing US Deficits Could Boost Bitcoin, Says Investment Guru — But Only Under One Condition
Oct 25, 2024 2:33 PM

Lyn Alden, a renowned investment strategist, argues that the U.S. has entered a period of “fiscal dominance,” where government deficits are driving monetary policy — a change that could be bullish for Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC).

In an appearance on the ‘Less Noise More Signal’ podcast, Alden outlined her views on the current economic environment, the role of Bitcoin, and the challenges facing traditional financial systems.

She argues this shift from the previous era of monetary dominance began around 2016-2017 and is primarily driven by demographic changes as the large baby boomer generation enters retirement.

Its implications for monetary policy are profound since raising interest rates can paradoxically worsen inflation by increasing the government’s debt burden, Alden notes.

“When they [Federal Reserve] raise rates, it does slow down bank lending but it actually blows out the deficit by an even bigger number than it slows down bank lending,” the strategist points out.

Also Read: Nate Silver’s ‘Gut’ Says Trump Will Win, But Kamala Harris ‘Could Beat Her Polls’: One Trader Bets Over $3 Million She Does

Alden sees Bitcoin as a potential hedge against monetary debasement, but emphasizes that its success depends on continued adoption and utility, in part as a “store of value.”

Regarding government attitudes towards cryptocurrencies, Alden emphasizes that “governments are not monoliths,” pointing out the diversity of opinions within political structures. This diversity, she believes, is crucial in preventing overly restrictive policies.

Alden advocates for education as a key strategy in fostering a balanced approach to cryptocurrency regulation.

Alden also discussed the importance of liquidity in asset markets. In a recent study, she found Bitcoin to be highly correlated with global liquidity measures, moving in the same direction 83% of the time over 12-month periods, higher than any other asset class examined.

However, Alden cautions against oversimplification. She notes that in the 17% of cases where Bitcoin doesn’t follow liquidity trends, other factors, such as valuation, come into play.

She concluded that new technologies like Bitcoin offer potential alternatives and hedges against traditional financial system risks.

Read Next: 

Donald Trump Leads, But Harris ‘Field Goal Could Win the Game,’ Says Analyst Who Thinks Prediction Market Are Trading Close To Where They Should

Image: Shutterstock

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Federal Reserve Watch for May 20: Barr Says FOMC in 'Good Position' to Wait for More Evidence on Inflation Progress
Federal Reserve Watch for May 20: Barr Says FOMC in 'Good Position' to Wait for More Evidence on Inflation Progress
May 20, 2024
02:46 PM EDT, 05/20/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr (voter) said the Federal Open Market Committee is in a good position to hold policy steady until there is more evidence that inflation is slowing toward the 2% goal. Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson (voter) repeated that monetary policy is in restrictive territory and said that...
How the Federal Reserve impacts personal loans
How the Federal Reserve impacts personal loans
May 20, 2024
April 30-May 1 Fed meeting On May 1, 2024, the FOMC decided to hold steady on interest rates. The benchmark rate remains at 5.25-5.5 percent. Most personal loans have fixed rates, so current borrowers do not need to worry about their interest rates changing. Borrowers in the market for a personal loan should prepare for rising interest rates, but there...
May Philadelphia Fed Regional Nonmanufacturing Activity Index Fall Sharply, Indicating Much Slower Pace of Contraction
May Philadelphia Fed Regional Nonmanufacturing Activity Index Fall Sharply, Indicating Much Slower Pace of Contraction
May 21, 2024
08:37 AM EDT, 05/21/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's monthly nonmanufacturing activity index sharply increased to minus 0.6 in May from minus 12.4 in the previous month, indicating a much slower pace of contraction in the sector. The readings for new orders, prices paid, and employment all fell in the month, while the sales index increased. The...
Barr: Requiring discount window readiness could break 'stigma'
Barr: Requiring discount window readiness could break 'stigma'
May 20, 2024
AMELIA ISLAND, Florida (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve is considering new rules to break the stigma around borrowing from the central bank's discount window to cover short-term cash needs, Fed vice chair for supervision Michael Barr said on Monday. We've made good progress over the last year, since the failure of Silicon Valley Bank exposed gaps in the Fed's...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved