Nov 6 (Reuters) - U.S. presidential elections are all
about "the economy, stupid", said Bill Clinton's strategist
James Carville in 1992.
And for American voters who cared more about the economy
than other issues - and the nearly half who said they are worse
off financially than four years ago - their choice for the next
president appeared resoundingly clear: Republican Donald Trump.
Trump claimed victory in the 2024 presidential contest after
Fox News projected that he had defeated Democrat Kamala Harris
after he won in the battleground states of Pennsylvania, North
Carolina and Georgia.
He was leading in each of the remaining four battleground
states, any one of which would push his Electoral College total
above the 270 needed to win.
About 31% of voters said the economy was their top issue,
ranking second behind the 35% who said the state of democracy
mattered most to them, according to national exit polling data
from Edison Research. And the voters who identified the economy
as their primary concern voted overwhelmingly for Trump over
Harris - 79% to 20%.
Meanwhile, the high inflation of the last couple of years
and the toll that has taken on perceptions of financial
well-being stood out as clear concerns that also steered voters
toward Trump.
More than half of voters said inflation had caused them a
moderate hardship in the last year, while nearly one in four
said it had caused a severe hardship. Those saying it had caused
a moderate difficulty leaned somewhat more to Trump, 50% to 47%,
but 73% of those calling it a severe hardship voted for the
former president.
Edison's exit polling data showed 45% of voters across the
country said their family's financial situation was worse today
than four years ago, compared with just 20% in 2020. Those
voters favored Trump over Harris 80% to 17%.
The results dovetail with surveys that have shown consumers
giving the economy poor ratings even though unemployment is near
historic lows, growth overall has been largely above trend,
consumer spending remains robust, and overall household wealth
is at a record high.
The University of Michigan's twice-monthly Consumer
Sentiment Index, for instance, plunged to a record low in the
summer of 2022 when inflation as measured by the Consumer Price
Index peaked at 9.1% year-over-year - the highest since the
early 1980s.
While it has improved in the two years since as stiff
interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve have brought
inflation back to near the central bank's 2% target, sentiment
remains well below the levels that prevailed during Trump's
first term from 2017 to 2021.
(Editing by Catherine Evans)